We talked about Value at Risk (VaR) earlier in the book. You know the concept: estimate how much you can lose from your portfolio over a given time, with a given confidence level. Cool idea. But where do you get the actual numbers? Volatilities, correlations, credit data? Chapter 42 is about two systems that try to answer that question: RiskMetrics and CreditMetrics. Both came from JP Morgan, and both became industry standards.
Any smart investor, whether a billion-dollar bank or a retiree with a savings account, should know the answer to one question: how much could I lose? Chapter 19 introduces Value at Risk (VaR), the industry standard for answering exactly that.
And that’s a wrap on “Hedge Fund Analysis” by Frank J. Travers.
Over the past 20 posts, we went through the entire book, from the history of hedge funds all the way to the final scoring model. Here’s what I think you should take away from all of this.
Chapter 10 opens with a Warren Buffett quote: “Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.” Hard to argue with that. Travers uses this chapter to walk us through the risk due diligence process, and honestly, some of the findings are pretty eye-opening.
Chapter 6 of The Hedge Fund Book is all about due diligence. Basically, it is the homework you do before handing someone your money. And after Madoff, after LTCM, after Bayou, everyone agrees on one thing. That homework was not being done properly. This chapter shows what good due diligence looks like and what happens when people skip it.
At this point in the book, we have collected the basic info from the hedge fund manager, done an initial review, and had a phone interview. Now comes the numbers part. Chapter 6 of “Hedge Fund Analysis” by Frank J. Travers is about crunching performance data, and it is packed with formulas and statistics.
Chapter 4 of The Hedge Fund Book is called “The Shooting Star.” And the title tells you everything. Some hedge funds grow super fast, look amazing for a while, and then crash. Like a shooting star. Bright, quick, gone.
Chapter 3 kicks off Part Two of the book, and this is where things get practical. We are done with the history lessons and strategy overviews. Now Travers rolls up his sleeves and shows us how to actually evaluate a hedge fund step by step.
So you want to know if a private equity fund is actually good? Turns out, that’s way harder than it sounds. There is no stock ticker refreshing every second. No public quarterly earnings call. You are stuck with imperfect tools and incomplete data. Welcome to Section 3.3 through 3.5 of Demaria’s book.
There are somewhere between 8,000 and 10,000 hedge funds out there. Let that sink in for a second. Even if you had infinite money, how would you figure out which ones are actually good?
I just finished reading “Hedge Fund Analysis: An In-Depth Guide to Evaluating Return Potential and Assessing Risks” by Frank J. Travers, and I want to break it down for you in a series of blog posts.