Commodity futures

How Global Commodity Futures Move Emerging Market Economies

Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies
Editors: H. Kent Baker, Gregory Filbeck, Jeffrey H. Harris
ISBN: 9780190656010


Kamal Smimou asks a practical question: if you trade emerging markets, do U.S.-listed commodity futures tell you anything useful? His answer, backed by panel regressions across 22 countries, is yes. But the link depends on which commodity and which region.

When Oil Volatility Infects Everything Else

Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies
Editors: H. Kent Baker, Gregory Filbeck, Jeffrey H. Harris
ISBN: 9780190656010


After 2008, everyone wanted to know if a shock in oil would spread to corn, copper, or gold. Frankie Chau and Rataporn Deesomsak build a tool to measure exactly that: the Commodity Volatility Spillover Index (CVSI).

Agricultural Commodities Investing: How to Trade Corn, Wheat, and More

Commodities: Markets, Performance, and Strategies | Editors: H. Kent Baker, Greg Filbeck, Jeffrey H. Harris | ISBN: 9780190656010

Chapter 8 opens the agricultural section of the book, and it starts with a fact that surprised me: agriculture is tiny as a share of GDP in rich countries (about 1.3% in the U.S.) but massive in frontier economies, where it can be 40% or more of national output. Sierra Leone, Chad, Ethiopia. The U.S. still runs a trade surplus in farm goods, exporting billions more than it imports each year. So the sector matters globally even when it looks small on a developed-country balance sheet.