A Tour of Structured Finance Products: The Good, Bad, and Weird
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized-Debt-Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations | Author: Janet M. Tavakoli | Publisher: John Wiley & Sons (2008) | ISBN: 978-0-470-44344-6
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Chapter 4 is where Tavakoli steps back from mechanics and tells the story of how the CDO market grew. The chapter is titled “CDOs and the Global Capital Markets” and it covers roughly 20 years of history – from the junk bond era of the late 1980s through the explosive synthetic CDO growth of the 2000s to the beginning of the unraveling in 2007.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
The second half of Chapter 3 picks up where the credit default swap discussion ended and covers total return swaps, CDS pricing, synthetic CDO structure, equity TRORS, information asymmetry, pay-as-you-go templates, and the credit indexes that eventually let people bet against the subprime market.
Credit derivatives are where Chapter 3 begins, and they’re where the CDO story gets complicated. These instruments – primarily credit default swaps – turned the credit market from a buy-and-hold business into a trading business. They made the CDO market possible at the scale it reached. They also introduced risks that many participants didn’t understand.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
The first half of Chapter 2 covered how SPEs are set up, where they’re domiciled, and how repackaging structures work. This half gets into the specific types of trusts and conduits used in U.S. securitization – and into a harder conversation about what “bankruptcy-remote” actually means in practice.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Every securitization needs a container. An entity that holds the assets, issues the securities, and exists separately from the people who put it together. That container is the special purpose entity.
Before you can understand CDOs, you need the vocabulary. Chapter 1 of Tavakoli’s book is essentially a glossary with context – she defines the key terms and explains why they exist.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Some books age badly. This one didn’t.
Janet M. Tavakoli wrote Structured Finance and Collateralized Debt Obligations in 2008 – the second edition – right as everything was falling apart. The subprime mortgage market had just imploded. CDO losses were spreading across the global financial system. Banks were writing down billions. And Tavakoli was sitting there going: “I told you so.”
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Fourteen posts later, we’re done. I’ve walked through every chapter of Phil Pallen’s AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1), and now it’s time to step back and share the overall picture.
So we made it through all 12 chapters of Kevin Mirabile’s “Hedge Fund Investing.” Here’s what stuck with me after going through the whole thing.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
So we made it through the whole book. Every chapter, every character, every messed up financial instrument. And now I want to step back and share some thoughts on what this book really means. Not just as a finance story, but as a story about people, systems, and how badly things can go wrong when nobody’s paying attention.
This is the last post in the series. We have been through 83 chapters spread across three volumes, covering everything from what a stock option actually is to coding up stochastic volatility solvers and American option pricing algorithms. If you have followed along from the beginning, thank you for sticking with it. If you jumped in halfway, that is fine too. Let me try to pull all of it together.
Innovation sounds like a big-company word. Like something you need a lab and a research team and a six-figure budget to pull off. Phil Pallen’s final chapter in AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1) pushes back on that idea. Hard.
Chapters 82 and 83 are the “put your money where your mouth is” chapters. After hundreds of pages of theory, equations, and diagrams, Wilmott hands you actual working code. Visual Basic code for Excel, to be precise. These are not toy examples. They implement real pricing models for real financial products, from plain American calls to exotic Parisian options to stochastic volatility to credit risk. Let me walk you through what each program does and why it matters.
In the first part of Chapter 12, we covered fund administrators and prime brokers. Now we get into the other critical service providers: auditors, lawyers, and technology firms. These are less flashy but just as important. A hedge fund without a good auditor is like a restaurant without a health inspector. Maybe everything is fine. Maybe you don’t want to know.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
The epilogue of The Big Short is called “Everything Is Correlated.” And that title carries more weight than it first appears. The financial system, the government response, the bailouts, the lack of accountability, the people who got rich from causing the disaster, and the ordinary people who lost everything - it was all connected. And not in the way Wall Street’s risk models assumed.
Security and legal compliance are the topics most small business owners avoid until something goes wrong. Pallen acknowledges this right away in Chapter 11 of AI for Small Business. He says he doesn’t have endless funds to throw at lawyers and cybersecurity experts. And most small businesses are in the same boat: either big enough to hire the right people or small and vulnerable.
When you think about hedge funds, you think about traders and portfolio managers. Maybe a genius founder in a corner office making billion-dollar bets. But behind every hedge fund is a small army of service providers doing work that nobody talks about. Chapter 12 is about those people.
Chapter 81 tackles a problem that looks simple on the surface but gets surprisingly deep: how do you calculate a multi-dimensional integral when you cannot do it with pen and paper? If you can write an option price as an integral (and for many European options on multiple assets, you can), then all you need is a good way to evaluate that integral numerically. Wilmott shows three approaches, and the last one is genuinely clever.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
This is the chapter where everything falls apart. Not slowly. Not gracefully. Like a building that has been rotting from the inside for years and one Tuesday morning just folds in on itself while people are still walking past it on the sidewalk.
Chapter 10 of AI for Small Business opens with Pallen admitting something refreshing. He says he’s not a data person. He doesn’t love spreadsheets or calculations. But thanks to AI, that’s perfectly fine. You don’t need a degree in data science to understand your business data anymore.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Part 1 covered how to prepare for due diligence and evaluate a fund’s investment process. Now comes the hard stuff. Risk management, operations, the business model, and the part nobody wants to think about: fraud.
Chapter 80 is where Wilmott shows you a completely different way to price options. Forget partial differential equations. Forget finite differences. Instead, just simulate random stock price paths, calculate what the option would pay on each path, average the results, and discount back to today. That is Monte Carlo simulation in a nutshell. It sounds almost too simple to work, but it is one of the most powerful tools in all of quantitative finance.
This chapter is where it all starts to unravel. And it opens not with the heroes of this story, but with the guy who made the single biggest trading loss in Wall Street history. His name is Howie Hubler.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Human resources gets a bad rap. Most people think of HR as the department that sends annoying emails about benefits enrollment and processes paperwork all day. But Pallen flips that narrative in Chapter 9 of AI for Small Business. He argues that AI can take over the boring admin stuff so HR people can do what they’re actually good at: working with people.
Due diligence. Sounds boring. But this is the chapter where you learn how to not lose your money to the next Madoff. So maybe pay attention.
There is an old saying in science: being right too early is indistinguishable from being wrong. Chapter 8 of The Big Short is basically that saying stretched into the most painful period of Michael Burry’s life. And honestly, reading it felt personal. Because anyone who has ever been the only person in the room who sees a problem - and then gets punished for pointing it out - will recognize every single page of this chapter.
Chapter 79 is about what happens when your problem has two random factors. Convertible bonds with stochastic interest rates. Exotic options with stochastic volatility. Barrier options where you model both the stock and the rates. These are real problems that real desks face, and they need two-factor numerical methods.
In the previous chapter we built the explicit finite-difference method. It works, it is easy to code, but it has that annoying stability constraint: your time step must be tiny relative to your asset step. Chapter 78 shows how to remove that constraint and get better accuracy at the same time. The price? The code gets a bit more complicated. But as Wilmott says, the extra complexity is worth it.
Operations and logistics are where AI really flexes. That’s the vibe Pallen gives off right at the start of this chapter. Human error? Gone. Demand forecasting? Done with precision. Overproduction? Say goodbye. He’s clearly excited about what AI can do for the behind-the-scenes parts of a business.
Why do hedge fund managers charge so much? And does paying more actually get you better results? Chapter 10 of Mirabile’s book tackles this. Turns out, the way you structure a fund’s fees and terms has a real effect on how the manager behaves. And how the manager behaves determines your returns.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Chapter 7 of The Big Short is called “The Great Treasure Hunt,” and I think it is the most frustrating chapter in the whole book. Not because it is boring. Because it shows you that every institution that was supposed to protect the system - the rating agencies, the regulators, the big banks - was either clueless, corrupt, or both.
Pallen opens this chapter with a simple truth: successful businesses understand their money. Cash flow, budgets, costs, market conditions, risk. If you don’t know where your money is going, you can’t make good decisions. And most small business owners either don’t have a finance team or rely on a single external accountant.
Chapter 77 is where we stop talking about pricing theory and start actually building a pricer. This is the chapter where the Black-Scholes equation stops being a formula on paper and becomes code on a screen. If you have ever used the binomial model, congratulations, you already know the basic idea. Finite differences are just a more powerful, more flexible version of the same concept.
You would think measuring how well a hedge fund did is simple. Fund went up 10%? Great. Down 3%? Bad. Done.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
There is something almost too perfect about the setting. The biggest annual conference for the subprime mortgage bond industry takes place in Las Vegas. In a fake Italian palace. Inside a casino specifically designed to make you lose track of time, money, and your grip on reality.
So you want diversified hedge fund exposure but don’t want to pick individual managers yourself. Chapter 8 covers your two main options: multistrategy funds and funds of hedge funds (FoF). There is also a third option, index replication, that has been gaining traction. Same goal, very different execution. Let’s break it down.
We have reached the final part of Wilmott’s massive book. Part Six: Numerical Methods and Programs. This is where all the theory meets reality. Because in practice, you almost never get a nice closed-form formula. You get a PDE and a computer.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
Every chapter of this book introduces a different kind of weirdo who saw the crisis coming. Michael Burry was the data obsessive. Steve Eisman was the loud angry truth-teller. And now we meet Charlie Ledley and Jamie Mai, two guys who started a hedge fund in a friend’s garage in Berkeley, California, with $110,000 in a Schwab account. They called it Cornwall Capital Management. Nobody asked them to do this. Nobody told them they should. They just kind of… did it.
Remember the last time you called customer service and got stuck listening to hold music for 45 minutes? Yeah. That’s the experience Pallen opens this chapter with. And he’s right. Bad customer service doesn’t just annoy people. It loses them.
If you run a small business, you already know the social media hamster wheel. Come up with ideas. Design graphics. Write captions. Post at the right time. Track what works. Repeat. Every single day.
Every year around December, Wall Street gets really interesting. Bonus season. Traders who made money want a fat check. Banks want to keep their best people but also not go broke. And nobody really knows if a trader who made a fortune this year was skilled or just lucky.
Convertible arbitrage sounds complicated. And honestly, the mechanics are not trivial. But the core idea is surprisingly simple. You buy a convertible bond. You short the stock of the same company. Then you try to profit from the difference.
Book: Structured Finance and Insurance: The ART of Managing Capital and Risk Author: Christopher L. Culp Publisher: Wiley Finance, 2006 ISBN: 978-0-471-70631-1
This is the chapter that made me put the book down and stare at the wall for a while. Not because it’s complicated. Because it’s cruel. Chapter 4 is where Michael Lewis shows you the actual human beings getting chewed up by the machine. And the chapter title - “How to Harvest a Migrant Worker” - is not a metaphor. It is literally what happened.
Marketing used to be a guessing game. You’d put up a billboard, run a radio ad, or send a mailer and hope for the best. Phil Pallen opens Chapter 4 of AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1) with a comparison I liked: old-school marketing is like shouting into emptiness. AI marketing is like having a conversation with someone who already wants to listen.
This chapter is about bond nerds. Specifically, hedge fund managers who make money by finding small price differences between bonds that should be priced the same (or very close). The strategies are called fixed income relative value and credit arbitrage. They sound boring. But the math behind them is wild.
And now for something completely morbid. That is literally how Wilmott opens Chapter 74. We are talking about life settlements and viaticals. Contracts that are, to put it bluntly, about death.
This chapter introduces one of the most entertaining characters in the whole book. His name is Greg Lippmann, he is a bond trader at Deutsche Bank, and he is exactly the kind of person you would never trust with your money. Which is exactly why his story is so good.
In Part 1 we covered how long/short equity funds work, the five strategy types, and how they construct portfolios. Now let’s look at the business side: fees, redemptions, historical performance, and how investors evaluate these managers.
Sales is the engine that keeps any business alive. No sales, no revenue. No revenue, no business. Phil Pallen makes this obvious point in Chapter 3 of AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1), but then he goes somewhere useful with it. He asks: what if AI could handle the boring parts of selling so you can focus on actually connecting with people?
Every chapter so far has been about financial options. Contracts you buy and sell in markets. But the word “option” just means a choice, and choices show up everywhere. Should you shut down a factory that is losing money? Should you invest in a project now or wait? Should you suspend production when prices drop and restart when they recover? Chapter 73 of Wilmott’s book shows that the same math we use for financial derivatives can answer these questions. This is the world of real options.
The chapter title is “In the Land of the Blind.” There is a proverb: “In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.” Michael Burry literally had one eye. He lost his left eye to cancer when he was two years old. Lewis is not being subtle here, and I love him for it.
Wilmott opens Chapter 72 with a confession: “I don’t believe much of what I’m writing, and by the end of the chapter I hope you’ll see why.” That is an unusual way to start a textbook chapter, but it captures something real about energy derivatives. The models are borrowed from other markets, the assumptions are shakier than usual, and the underlying commodities behave in ways that break standard financial theory. But you have to start somewhere.
Long/short equity is the most popular hedge fund strategy. It’s also the oldest. The very first hedge fund, started by Alfred Winslow Jones in 1949, was a long/short equity fund. He turned $100,000 into $4.8 million over 20 years. People noticed. By 1968, the SEC counted 140 funds copying his approach.
Chapter 1 gave us the “what.” Chapter 2 of Phil Pallen’s AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1) gives us the “how.” This is where the book starts earning its price tag.
Chapter 1 of The Big Short is called “A Secret Origin Story.” And it really is one. Michael Lewis introduces us to Steve Eisman, a guy who stumbled into the subprime mortgage world almost by accident, got a front row seat to the ugliest corner of American finance, and slowly turned from a believer into the angriest skeptic on Wall Street.
Global macro is the strategy people think of when they hear “hedge fund.” Big bets on currencies. Shorting entire economies. George Soros breaking the Bank of England. That kind of thing.
Inflation eats your money. Slowly, usually, but sometimes fast. If you hold a regular bond, inflation erodes the value of every coupon and the principal repayment. Index-linked bonds solve this by tying payments to an inflation index like the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the US or the Retail Price Index (RPI) in the UK. Chapter 71 of Wilmott’s book looks at how to model inflation and price these products. The answer turns out to be messier than you might hope.
Michael Lewis opens The Big Short with a confession. And it is one of the most honest things I have ever read from someone who worked on Wall Street.
Everybody talks about AI. Few people actually explain what it is in a way that makes sense if you’re not an engineer. Phil Pallen fixes that in Chapter 1 of AI for Small Business (ISBN: 978-1-5072-2291-1), and honestly, it’s the kind of foundation chapter I wish more tech books would write.
Most AI books fall into one of two camps. They’re either super technical and written for engineers. Or they’re full of hype and empty promises. Phil Pallen’s AI for Small Business is neither.
The Epstein-Wilmott model from the previous two chapters gives us worst-case prices for interest rate products without assuming any probability distribution. But the basic version is, well, basic. It assumes rates move smoothly within bounds. Real interest rates jump. They follow cycles. They have a stochastic component that looks a lot like Brownian motion on short timescales. Chapter 70 adds bells and whistles to make the model more realistic while keeping its non-probabilistic spirit.
Chapter 3 is basically a timeline of the hedge fund industry. How it started small, got huge, almost died in 2008, and came back. If you want to understand where hedge funds are today, you need to know how they got here.
I just finished re-reading The Big Short by Michael Lewis, and honestly, it hits different every time. So I’m going to do something I’ve wanted to do for a while. I’m going to retell this book, chapter by chapter, in a way that makes sense even if you’ve never touched a finance textbook.
In Part 1 we covered the research behind hedge fund investing and how rich people, family offices, and endowments got into the game. Now let’s talk about the really big money: pension plans, sovereign wealth funds, and funds of funds. Plus, if hedge funds are so great, why doesn’t everyone just put 100% of their money there?
In the previous chapter, Wilmott introduced the Epstein-Wilmott model for interest rates: no probability, just bounds on where rates can go and how fast they move. We saw how to value bonds and generate the Yield Envelope. Chapter 69 takes this framework and applies it to real portfolios and more complex derivatives. Bond options, index amortizing rate swaps, convertible bonds. The nonlinear, non-probabilistic approach handles them all.
Hedge funds started back in the 1960s when Alfred Winslow Jones launched the first one. It was weird at the time because he used leverage and short selling. Nobody else was doing that. But the industry stayed small until the late 1980s.
Every interest rate model you have seen so far in this book assumes some form of random process. Brownian motion, mean reversion, stochastic volatility. They all start with “assume interest rates follow this stochastic differential equation” and then build a pricing framework on top. Chapter 68 of Wilmott’s book throws all of that out the window. No random walks. No probability distributions. No volatility parameters. Just bounds. This is the Epstein-Wilmott model, and it is refreshingly different.
In Part 1 we covered what alternative investments are and how hedge funds are structured. Now we get into the fun stuff. How do hedge funds actually make money? What strategies do they use? And how does leverage turn a 10% market gain into a 23% return?
In the previous chapter, we learned how to allocate money between risky and safe assets in continuous time. The answer was clean: hold a constant fraction in stocks and rebalance. But that result assumed the world follows a smooth lognormal random walk with no sudden jumps. What if you know that a crash could happen at any moment? Not a small dip, but a real crash, like October 1987. Chapter 67 of Wilmott’s book, written with Ralf Korn, tackles exactly this question. The answer is no longer a constant fraction, and the way the optimal allocation changes over time matches our intuition perfectly.
In the one-period portfolio models like Markowitz and CAPM, you make your investment decision once and then sit and wait. You cannot change your mind. But in real life, you check your portfolio, see how the market moved, and rebalance. You do this every day, every hour, maybe every minute. Chapter 66 of Wilmott’s book, based mostly on Merton’s work, develops the theory of continuous-time investment and portfolio rebalancing. The results are surprisingly elegant and give genuine practical insight.
Chapter 1 opens with a warning. If you’re new to hedge funds, you will get overwhelmed. There’s a lot of terminology. There’s a lot of moving pieces. But Mirabile does a good job laying the foundation here. Let’s walk through it.
So I picked up this book called Hedge Fund Investing: A Practical Approach to Understanding Investor Motivation, Manager Profits, and Fund Performance by Kevin R. Mirabile. And honestly, it’s one of those books that sounds intimidating but actually breaks things down pretty well.
One of the core assumptions behind most of quantitative finance is that stock returns are independent. What happened yesterday tells you nothing about today. The stock went up ten days in a row? Irrelevant. Tomorrow is a fresh coin toss. But is this really true? Chapter 65 of Wilmott’s book looks at the evidence for serial autocorrelation in stock returns and asks what happens to our models when returns are not independent.
Ask most options traders which parameter matters more for pricing: volatility or dividends. Almost everyone says volatility. And almost everyone is wrong. Chapter 64 of Wilmott’s book shows that for many common option structures, the sensitivity to dividend yield actually exceeds the sensitivity to volatility. Once you see the numbers, you start treating dividends very differently.
Here is something that should make every options trader stop and think. The “optimal” time to exercise an American option depends on who you are. The textbook answer assumes the holder is delta hedging. But if the holder were delta hedging, why would they buy the option in the first place? Chapter 63 of Wilmott’s book, based on a 1998 paper with Dr. Hyungsok Ahn, digs into this question and reaches a conclusion that is great news for option writers.
Would you rather have a guaranteed $5 million or a 50/50 shot at $10 million? Most people take the sure thing. Mathematically the expected value is the same. But something inside you says the safe option just feels better. That feeling is exactly what utility theory tries to capture, and Chapter 62 of Wilmott’s book lays down the framework for it.
Every derivatives textbook makes the same quiet assumption: option trading does not affect the stock price. The stock does its random walk thing, the option value follows, and hedging is just a passive activity. But think about this. In many markets, the nominal value of options traded exceeds the value of trade in the underlying stock itself. When everyone is delta hedging, they are all buying and selling the stock in predictable amounts at predictable times. Can we really pretend this has no effect? Chapter 61 of Wilmott’s book says no, and the consequences are fascinating.
Delta hedging is wonderful in theory. You adjust your position continuously, and risk vanishes. In practice, it is messy. You have to trade at discrete times. Transaction costs eat your lunch. And for some contracts, like barrier options or anything with a discontinuous payoff, the required hedge ratios become absurd. You end up buying and selling enormous quantities of the underlying at exactly the wrong moments. Chapter 60 of Wilmott’s book introduces static hedging as the cure for many of these headaches.
Almost everything in quantitative finance is built around one assumption: you hedge. You buy the option, you delta hedge, you eliminate risk, and the drift of the stock does not matter. Beautiful theory. But Chapter 59 of Wilmott’s book asks an uncomfortable question: what if you are not hedging?
The jump diffusion models from the previous chapter have a fundamental problem. You have to estimate the probability of a crash, and that is incredibly hard to do. How often does a 15% market drop happen? Once every 5 years? 10 years? 50 years? Nobody really knows. Chapter 58 of Wilmott’s book takes a completely different approach. Instead of guessing crash probabilities, it asks: what if the worst happens?
Here is a thing that bothers every honest quant at some point. The lognormal random walk, the thing Black-Scholes is built on, assumes that stock prices move smoothly. Small steps. Continuous paths. Nice and clean. But if you have ever watched a market during a crisis, you know that prices do not always walk. Sometimes they jump. Chapter 57 of Wilmott’s book tackles this head on and introduces jump diffusion models.
Every few chapters, Wilmott stops talking about theory and shows you a concrete product that exposes why the theory matters so much. Chapter 56 does exactly this. The cliquet option is a structured product that looks innocent on the surface but hides extreme sensitivity to volatility modeling. If you price it with the wrong volatility assumptions, you can be off by a factor of ten in your risk estimate. That is not a rounding error. That is a blowup waiting to happen.
Here is a frustrating reality of stochastic volatility models. You pick a model because it is tractable (Heston, anyone?). You get nice semi-closed-form solutions. But what if the model does not actually describe reality well? You have traded accuracy for mathematical convenience, and in finance, that trade can cost you real money.
Wilmott does not like the market price of risk. He says so right at the start of Chapter 54, and his reasoning is solid. The market price of volatility risk is not directly observable. You can only back it out from option prices, and that only works if the people setting those prices are using the same model you are. If you refit the model a few days later and get a different answer, was the market wrong before? Or is it wrong now? You end up chasing your own tail.
Most people who model stochastic volatility start by writing down a nice-looking equation and then try to fit it to data. Wilmott thinks this is backwards. In Chapter 53, he starts with the data and builds the model from the ground up. It is a refreshingly practical approach. Instead of picking a model because it is mathematically convenient, he asks: what does volatility actually do?
So we made it. Thirteen posts covering every chapter of Flash Boys by Michael Lewis. And now the big question: did any of it matter?
Let us start with an uncomfortable truth. The Black-Scholes equation has three main parameters: volatility, interest rate, and dividend yield. Of these three, not a single one is known with certainty. Sure, you know today’s stock price. You know the expiry date. But the stuff that actually matters for pricing? You are guessing. Chapter 52 of Wilmott’s book takes this discomfort and turns it into a pricing framework.
Twenty-five posts. That is what it took to retell this book. And honestly, when I started this series back on February 4th, I was not sure I would finish it. A post a day for almost a month is a lot. But here we are.
So after all the chapters, all the experiments, all the arguments back and forth, Burton and Shah finally ask the big question. Who wins? Is the market efficient or not? Time for a new theory entirely?
The book ends the way it started. With a cable buried under American soil and the people who live above it having no clue what it does.
Volatility is not constant. We knew that already. The deterministic volatility surface tries to fix this by making volatility a function of stock price and time. But the surface changes every time you recalibrate. The model is fundamentally incomplete.
Can you grow a stock market bubble inside a classroom? Not a metaphor. An actual bubble where prices rise above what everyone in the room knows the thing is worth?
This chapter hit me different than the rest of the book. Maybe because Sergey Aleynikov is from the former USSR, same as me. Maybe because I spent 20 years in IT and know what it feels like when non-technical people judge your work. Probably both.
You look at the market. Calls with the same expiry but different strikes have different implied volatilities. The Black-Scholes model says this should not happen. Constant volatility means one number for all strikes. But the market does not care what Black-Scholes says.
In Part 1 we talked about the misfits Brad recruited to build IEX. Now we get to the good stuff. They launched it. And then Goldman Sachs did something nobody expected.
You know all those behavioral biases we talked about in earlier chapters? Loss aversion, status quo bias, overconfidence. The big question hanging over all of them is simple. Where do they come from? Are we born with them? Did we learn them from our parents and culture? Or is there something deeper going on inside our actual brains?
You cannot see volatility. You cannot touch it. You cannot even measure it precisely at any given instant. And yet, it is the single most important input in options pricing. Get volatility wrong and nothing else matters. Get it right and you can make a lot of money.
Chapter 7 is called “An Army of One.” And it starts not with trading algorithms or secret cables. It starts with a guy on the subway on September 11, 2001.
Every time you buy or sell stock to rebalance your hedge, you pay a little toll. The bid-offer spread. The commission. The market impact. These are transaction costs, and they are the silent killer of options hedging strategies.
Try selling your house by tomorrow. Not in a month, not after listing it and staging it and waiting for offers. Tomorrow. For cash.
Black-Scholes says you should hedge continuously. Rebalance your portfolio every instant, forever, and all risk disappears like magic. Beautiful theory. Completely impossible in practice.
Chapter 6 is where everything gets real. Brad and his team stop talking about the problem and start building the solution. They quit their jobs, raise money, hire puzzle solvers, and design a stock exchange from scratch. And the centerpiece of the whole thing is a coil of fiber optic cable stuffed inside a box the size of a shoe.
Stocks make more money than bonds. Everyone knows that. But here’s the thing. They make way more money than bonds. And when economists tried to explain why the gap is so big, they couldn’t. Not with their standard models. Not even close.
What if I told you that the day of the week affects your stock returns? Or that one specific month is consistently better than the other eleven? Sounds like astrology for finance people, right?
Before we tear Black-Scholes apart, Wilmott wants to make something clear. This model is a triumph. It changed finance forever. Two of its three creators won the Nobel Prize. Everyone in derivatives uses it, from salesmen to traders to quants. Option prices are often quoted not in dollars but in volatility terms, with the understanding that you plug that number into Black-Scholes to get the price.
We’ve reached the end of our retelling of Cyril Demaria’s “Introduction to Private Equity, Debt and Real Assets.” It’s been quite a journey—from Christopher Columbus to multi-billion dollar mega-funds.
This chapter hit me personally. I’m from the former USSR myself. I know people exactly like Sergey Aleynikov. Brilliant programmers who left because the system wouldn’t let them be what they were meant to be. Reading this felt less like a book and more like a story someone told me over tea.
We are now entering Part 5 of Wilmott’s book: Advanced Topics. Everything so far was classical foundation. Lognormal random walks, Black-Scholes, delta hedging, portfolio theory. Well-established stuff. From here on out, we go beyond the standard model and into territories where things get interesting, controversial, and sometimes dangerous.
By the end of 2010, Brad’s team had built a weapon. Thor worked. It protected investors from getting front-run by high-frequency traders. But here’s the problem. They had built a defense against an enemy they barely understood.
Every trader has said something like this at some point: “The stock has good fundamentals, it’s cheap, but the price action looks terrible. I’m going to wait.”
All the math in the world does not help if the people using it are reckless, clueless, or dishonest. Chapter 44 is Wilmott’s tour through the greatest hits of derivatives disasters. These are not abstract case studies. Real people lost real billions, institutions collapsed, and careers ended. Some of these stories are tragic, some are farcical, and a few are both.
Every person I know who works in IT started from the bottom. Fixing cables, carrying equipment, dealing with angry users. Nobody hands you a corner office in tech. You earn it by touching the actual hardware. And that’s exactly why Ronan Ryan understood something that every Wall Street trader missed.
Benjamin Graham is probably the most famous contrarian investor who ever lived. Together with David Dodd, he invented what we now call value investing. The whole idea is simple. Buy stocks that other people don’t like. Stocks with low prices compared to their earnings or book value. Cheap stocks. Unpopular stocks.
Value at Risk tells you what to expect on a normal day. But what about the days that are not normal? What about crashes? Chapter 43 introduces CrashMetrics, which is Wilmott’s own creation. If VaR is about routine market conditions, CrashMetrics is the opposite side of the coin. It is about fire sales, panic, and the far-from-orderly liquidation of assets.
In 1992 two economists published a paper that accidentally shook the foundations of modern finance. They did not mean to. They were actually trying to defend the system. But what they found in the data was so clear and so stubborn that it changed how everyone thought about stock prices.
Chapter 2 of Flash Boys is where we meet Brad Katsuyama. And honestly, this is where the book really starts cooking. Because Brad is not some Wall Street hotshot from Goldman Sachs. He’s a Canadian guy from Toronto who ended up in New York almost by accident.
Chapter 1 of Flash Boys opens like a heist movie. Two thousand workers are digging across America. They don’t know why. They don’t know what they are building. And they are told to keep their mouths shut.
We talked about Value at Risk (VaR) earlier in the book. You know the concept: estimate how much you can lose from your portfolio over a given time, with a given confidence level. Cool idea. But where do you get the actual numbers? Volatilities, correlations, credit data? Chapter 42 is about two systems that try to answer that question: RiskMetrics and CreditMetrics. Both came from JP Morgan, and both became industry standards.
You ever played the Madden NFL video game? For years, EA Sports put a top player on the cover. And then something funny kept happening. The cover athlete would have a terrible next season. Injuries, bad stats, team losses. Fans started calling it the Madden Curse. Some players actively tried to avoid being on the cover.
Every day you make decisions based on past data. What to eat for breakfast. How to approach your boss with a question. You look at what happened before and try to predict what will happen next.
If you hold a bond and the issuer might default, you want insurance. That is the basic idea behind credit derivatives. You pay someone a regular premium, and if the bad thing happens, they pay you. Chapter 41 of Wilmott’s book walks through the main types of credit derivatives, from simple default swaps to the multi-name products that helped blow up the global financial system in 2008.
Michael Lewis starts “Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt” with one of the best ironies I’ve seen in a finance book. After the 2008 financial crisis, after everything Goldman Sachs did, the only Goldman employee who got arrested was a guy who took something FROM Goldman. Not someone who helped crash the economy. A Russian programmer named Sergey Aleynikov who copied some code.
In Chapter 39 we valued default risk by modeling the firm’s assets, earnings, and cash. That is the “look inside the company” approach. Chapter 40 takes a completely different path. Instead of trying to understand why a company might default, just model default as a random external event. Roll a die. If you get a 1, the company defaults. Simple.
So I just finished re-reading Flash Boys by Michael Lewis, and honestly, it hits different every time. This book came out in 2014 and people are still arguing about it. That tells you something.
People are sticky. Not physically. Mentally. We stick to whatever we already have, whatever is already happening, whatever is the default. And this stickiness costs investors real money every single day.
Welcome to Part Four of Wilmott’s book: Credit Risk. Up until now, every product we priced assumed that all cashflows are guaranteed. Coupons get paid. Bonds get redeemed. Nobody goes bankrupt. That was a comfortable world to live in, but it is not reality.
You know that feeling when you buy a stock right after seeing a scary headline, and then two weeks later you wonder what you were thinking? That’s a perception bias doing its work on your brain.
Theory is nice. But at some point you have to price actual products that real people are trading. Chapter 38 of Wilmott’s book takes two interesting fixed-income contracts and walks through how to price them from scratch. No hand waving. Just the math, the logic, and even the code.
You know that feeling when you lose a $20 bill on the street? It ruins your whole afternoon. But finding $20 on the street? Nice, sure. You smile for maybe five minutes and forget about it.
In earlier chapters of Wilmott’s book, we modeled interest rates by picking one short-term rate and deriving the entire yield curve from it. Works fine for simple stuff. But Heath, Jarrow, and Morton said: why model just the short end when you can model the whole forward rate curve at once?
Economics has a favorite character. The Rational Man. He always knows what he wants. He always picks the best option. He never panics, never gets confused, never makes a dumb choice because he’s tired or emotional.
We have spent several chapters building interest rate models. Vasicek, CIR, Hull and White, Ho and Lee, Black-Derman-Toy. Each one chosen for its nice mathematical properties, clean closed-form solutions, and easy calibration. But here is the uncomfortable question Wilmott asks in Chapter 36: do any of these models actually match what interest rates do in the real world?
I’ve spent over 20 years in IT and a lot of time looking at charts and numbers. One thing I’ve learned is that the math is often the easy part. The hard part is the gray matter between your ears.
You ever watch financial news and hear someone say “the market broke through resistance” or “the market looks tired”? These phrases sound like the market is some living creature with feelings. And if you come from a science background, your first reaction is probably: what does that even mean?
Because it’s so hard to get good data on private equity, people start taking shortcuts. And those shortcuts lead to some big mistakes.
One-factor interest rate models have a fundamental problem. They assume that a single number, the spot interest rate, drives the entire yield curve. That means all rates of all maturities move together in lockstep. If the spot rate goes up by 1%, every other rate adjusts accordingly. The yield curve can shift up and down, but it cannot twist or tilt independently at different maturities.
Remember the dot-com bubble? Companies with zero profit, sometimes zero revenue, trading at insane valuations. Analysts invented new ways to justify the prices. “Forget earnings, count the eyeballs!” And for a while, it worked.
I already talked about why private companies are so secretive. But there’s a whole industry built on trying to find their secrets anyway.
Most people know what a mortgage is. You borrow money to buy a house, you make monthly payments, and after 20 or 30 years you own the house free and clear. But what happens to all those mortgages after the bank gives them out? They get bundled together and sold to investors. That is a mortgage-backed security. Chapter 34 of Wilmott’s book explains how these things work, why they are tricky to price, and what makes them different from every other fixed-income product.
For decades, traditional finance people had a simple answer to the noise trader problem. Milton Friedman said it. Eugene Fama said it. Fischer Black said it. The answer was: irrational traders will lose their money to smart traders and disappear.
Imagine a bond that can transform into stock. That is a convertible bond. Chapter 33 of Wilmott’s book dives into one of the most fascinating instruments in finance, a hybrid security that sometimes acts like debt and sometimes acts like equity. It sounds simple on the surface, but underneath it is a deeply complex contract involving American option features, stochastic interest rates, path dependence, dilution, and credit risk.
One of the biggest problems with private companies is that they don’t have to tell you anything. In the stock market, companies have to share their financial reports all the time. But in the private world, there’s no law saying they have to.
Economics has a rule that sounds so obvious it barely needs saying. If two things are identical, they should have the same price. If they don’t, someone will buy the cheap one and sell the expensive one until prices meet in the middle. Easy. Done. Move on.
Before behavioral finance became a real academic field, people already knew something was off with markets. Traders in the 1920s had their own rules. Value investors in the 1930s had theirs. And nobody was waiting for professors to tell them the market was irrational. They lived it every day.
If you thought equity options were complex, welcome to the world of interest rate derivatives. Chapter 32 of Wilmott’s book takes everything we learned about modeling bonds and the yield curve and applies it to actual products that traders buy and sell every day. Caps, floors, swaptions, callable bonds, and a whole zoo of exotic contracts.
The words “private equity” get thrown around a lot. But people use them in different ways, and it gets really confusing.
Cyril Demaria started this book because he couldn’t find anything good to read about private equity. Most of what was out there just didn’t make sense. It didn’t match what actually happens in the real world.
Chapter 2 of Burton and Shah’s book is about the math behind stock prices. Don’t run away yet. I promise to keep it simple. The chapter introduces something called CAPM and the “market model.” These are the tools that traditional finance uses to describe how stock prices should behave. And if you want to understand why behavioral finance matters, you need to know what it’s arguing against.
In the last chapter, we saw one-factor models for interest rates. You pick a model, choose some parameters, and out comes a theoretical yield curve. But here is the problem: that theoretical yield curve almost certainly does not match the actual yield curve you see in the market. And if your model gives wrong prices for plain vanilla bonds, how can you trust it to price anything more complex?
I’ve been reading a lot of books on finance lately. Most of them are either too simple or way too complicated for anyone who doesn’t have a PhD in math. But I found one that actually makes sense. It’s called “Introduction to Private Equity, Debt and Real Assets” by Cyril Demaria.
With Chapter 30, we enter Part Three of the book: fixed-income modeling and derivatives. Up to now, interest rates have been either constant or known functions of time. That is fine for short-dated equity options. But for longer-dated contracts, and especially for bonds and interest rate derivatives, we need to treat the interest rate itself as random. This changes everything.
Chapter 1 of Burton and Shah’s book gets right to the big idea. The Efficient Market Hypothesis. EMH for short. This is the theory that traditional finance is built on, and it is the thing behavioral finance tries to tear apart.
Theory is nice, but at some point you have to look at real contracts. Chapter 29 of Wilmott’s book takes a collection of actual term sheets for equity and FX derivatives and walks through them one by one. The goal is practical: can you look at a piece of paper describing some exotic contract and figure out how to price and hedge it?
Let me tell you something that took me years to figure out. Traditional economics and finance are built on one really big assumption: that people are rational. And not just a little rational. Perfectly, mathematically, always-making-the-best-choice rational.
By this point in the book, Wilmott has been classifying exotic options into tidy categories. Asian options got their own chapter. Lookbacks got their own chapter. Barrier options got their own chapter. But the universe of exotic derivatives is large and growing, and eventually the classification exercise breaks down. Chapter 28 is where Wilmott gives up on neat categories and just throws a bunch of interesting exotics at us. It is a grab bag, and it is fun.
I’m starting something new here. Over the next 25 days, I’m going to retell the book Behavioral Finance: Understanding the Social, Cognitive, and Economic Debates by Edwin T. Burton and Sunit N. Shah.
Most options we have seen so far give the holder a choice at one specific moment. With a European option, you decide at expiry. With an American option, you pick the best time to exercise. But what if the option let you actively trade during its entire life, and then insured you against losses? That is the idea behind the passport option, and Chapter 27 of Wilmott’s book uses it to introduce stochastic control.
Every trader has the same fantasy: buy at the absolute lowest price and sell at the absolute highest. You can buy a contract that pays you as if you did. That is the lookback option, Chapter 26.
Asian options are probably the most practical exotic derivatives. In crude oil markets, they are not even considered exotic. They are the vanilla. Chapter 25 applies the framework from Chapter 24 to options whose payoff depends on an average price.
Barrier options showed us weak path dependence. The contract cared about the path, but we still solved a two-variable problem. Chapter 24 takes the next step: strong path dependence. Cannot be hidden in boundary conditions. We need an extra variable.
Barrier options used to be exotic. Now they are one of the most heavily traded option types. Chapter 23 goes deep on them. Simple enough to understand, useful enough to be everywhere, tricky enough to mess up if you do not pay attention.
We have spent a lot of time on vanilla calls and puts. But now Wilmott opens Part Two of the book, and things get interesting. Chapter 22 introduces exotic derivatives, contracts that keep quants employed and traders nervous.
Chapter 21 is short and completely different from everything else in the book. No equations. No theorems. Instead, Wilmott describes a classroom trading game designed to teach option pricing through actual experience. The game was created by one of his former students, David Epstein, and it is surprisingly brilliant in its simplicity.
People have been trying to predict financial markets since markets existed. Chapter 20 of Wilmott’s book takes an honest, slightly skeptical tour through the methods traders use. The verdict? Mixed at best. And Wilmott is not shy about saying so.
Any smart investor, whether a billion-dollar bank or a retiree with a savings account, should know the answer to one question: how much could I lose? Chapter 19 introduces Value at Risk (VaR), the industry standard for answering exactly that.
Up until now in Wilmott’s book, we have been hedging everything. Buy a derivative, hedge with the underlying, pocket risk-free returns. Banks love it. But not everyone plays that game. Fund managers buy and sell assets trying to beat the bank rate. They take risk on purpose. Chapter 18 is about doing that intelligently.
Chapter 17 starts with a confession that always gets Wilmott in trouble with bank training managers. He wants to call his lecture “Investment Lessons from Blackjack and Gambling.” They want him to change the title because regulators might frown on it. Wilmott thinks this is silly. Investment and gambling share the same mathematical roots. And most professional gamblers he knows understand risk and money management better than most risk managers at banks.
Chapter 16 is a short but important one. It asks a question that every quant should think about deeply: is the normal distribution actually a good model for financial returns? The answer is “mostly yes, but catastrophically no.” And that “catastrophically no” part has wiped out entire firms.
In Part 1 we covered the intuition behind the binomial model: delta hedging, risk-neutral pricing, and why probabilities do not matter for option values. Now we get to the practical side. How do you actually build a binomial tree, compute option prices, estimate Greeks, handle American options, and connect everything back to Black-Scholes?
Chapter 15 of Wilmott’s book introduces the binomial model, and honestly it might be the single most important chapter for building intuition about how option pricing actually works. Forget stochastic calculus for a moment. This model uses nothing more than basic arithmetic, and yet it arrives at exactly the same answers as Black-Scholes.
Swaps are one of the biggest markets in finance. The total notional principal is comfortably in the hundreds of trillions of dollars. Chapter 14 of Wilmott’s book explains how they work, why they exist, and how they connect to the bond pricing we covered in the previous post.
We are leaving the world of options for a bit and entering the world of fixed income. This is the world of bonds, interest rates, and cashflows. Chapter 13 of Wilmott’s book is a self-contained introduction that does not require anything from earlier chapters. If you have ever wondered what a yield curve is or why bond traders care about something called “duration,” this is the post for you.
This chapter is one of the most practically important in the entire book. Wilmott starts with a bold statement: there is money to be made from options because they may be mispriced by the market. He knows the efficient market crowd hates this idea. But volatility arbitrage hedge funds clearly believe it, so let us look at the math.
So far in this series we have been looking at options on a single stock. One underlying, one random walk, one volatility. Life was simple. But the real world is messier. Many popular contracts depend on two, five, or even twenty different assets at the same time. Welcome to the world of multi-asset options.
Most of derivative pricing theory goes out of its way to avoid thinking about probability. The whole point of hedging and no-arbitrage is to eliminate uncertainty. You do not need to know where the stock is going; you just need to build a portfolio that does not care. But Chapter 10 of Wilmott’s book asks us to step back and look at the randomness underneath. Where might the stock actually end up? How long before it hits a certain level? These questions matter for American options, for speculation, and for understanding what the math is really doing.
European options are simple: you wait until expiry, check if they are in the money, and either collect the payoff or walk away. American options give you more power and more headaches. You can exercise at any time before expiry, which sounds great but raises a hard question: when exactly should you do it? Chapter 9 of Wilmott’s book tackles this problem, and the ideas that come out of it show up again and again throughout the rest of quantitative finance.
The vanilla Black-Scholes model assumes a clean world: no dividends, constant parameters, one type of underlying. Real markets are messier. Chapter 8 of Wilmott’s book starts adding realism. Dividends, currencies, commodities, stock borrowing costs, time-dependent parameters. Each generalization is surprisingly straightforward once you understand the basic framework, which is the good news. The bad news is that you need to keep track of which adjustments apply to your specific situation.
Chapter 7 is one of the meatiest chapters in the first part of Wilmott’s book. It does two big things: first, it derives the actual Black-Scholes formulas for calls, puts, and binary options step by step. Second, it introduces the Greeks, which are the sensitivity measures that traders live and die by every single day. Wilmott makes an interesting argument early on: getting the hedging right is more important than getting the price right. Let me explain why.
If you have ever cooked something on a metal pan, you already understand partial differential equations. No, seriously. The way heat flows from the burner through the pan to your food follows the exact same type of math that prices options on Wall Street. Chapter 6 of Wilmott’s book makes this connection explicit, and honestly it makes the whole thing feel a lot less scary.
Wilmott calls Chapter 5 “without doubt, the most important chapter in the book.” He is not exaggerating. Everything before this was setup. Everything after this builds on what happens here. The Black-Scholes equation was first written down in 1969, the derivation was published in 1973, and finance has never been the same since.
Chapter 4 is the toolbox chapter. Before we can price options, we need the mathematical machinery to handle random variables properly. The centerpiece is Ito’s lemma, the rule that replaces ordinary calculus when things are random. Wilmott goes out of his way to make this accessible, and honestly, it is not as scary as it sounds.
Chapter 3 is where the real modeling begins. Wilmott takes us from “stock prices look random” to “here is the specific mathematical model for that randomness.” By the end of this chapter, we have the fundamental equation that drives almost everything in quantitative finance.
Chapter 2 is where Wilmott introduces the main character of the book: options. Also known as derivatives or contingent claims. No heavy math here yet, just definitions, jargon, and some clever strategies people use to make (or lose) money.
Chapter 1 of Wilmott’s book starts gently. No scary equations yet. Just the basic building blocks of finance that everything else in the book rests on. If you have worked in finance for a while, you know most of this already. But if you are coming from math or engineering background, this is the foundation you need.
I’m about to do something a bit ambitious. I’m going to retell the entire “Paul Wilmott on Quantitative Finance” - one of the biggest, most comprehensive textbooks on quantitative finance ever written. And I’m going to do it in plain English.
We made it. Over the past few months, I walked you through all ten chapters of “Free to Choose” by Milton and Rose Friedman. From the power of a simple pencil to constitutional amendments, from the Great Depression to school vouchers, from trade wars to inflation. Fifteen posts. One big idea: people make better decisions for themselves than governments make for them.
In one massive government building, employees spend their days trying to convince Americans to stop smoking. In another building, a few miles away, other employees spend their days spending taxpayer money to help farmers grow more tobacco. Both groups are hardworking. Both groups believe they are serving the public good. And both groups are paid with your money. That image – a government at war with itself – is where the Friedmans begin their final chapter. And it captures everything that has gone wrong.
Take a five-dollar bill out of your wallet. Now cut a rectangle of the same size from a glossy magazine. Both are pieces of paper. Both have pictures and numbers on them. One can buy you lunch. The other is garbage. Why? That question – why green paper has value – is where the Friedmans begin their chapter on inflation. And the answer is stranger than you might think.
If someone asked you what improved the life of workers over the past two centuries – shorter hours, higher pay, safer conditions – what would you say? Most people would answer “labor unions” or “the government.” The Friedmans say both answers are wrong. And they have numbers to back it up.
In Part 1, we saw how regulatory agencies – the ICC, the FDA – were created to protect consumers and ended up protecting the industries they were supposed to regulate. But the Friedmans are not done. What about product safety? What about the environment? What about energy? And if government regulation keeps failing, what is the alternative? Part 2 answers these questions – and the answer is not what you might expect.
Imagine you hire a bodyguard to protect you. A few years later, you realize the bodyguard is now working for the people you needed protection from – and you are still paying his salary. That, in short, is what happened with most of America’s consumer protection agencies. They were created to defend ordinary people. They ended up defending the industries they were supposed to regulate.
In Part 1, we saw how American schools started private, got taken over by government, and slowly became bloated bureaucracies that serve themselves more than students. Friedman proposed a voucher plan – give parents the money and let them choose where to send their kids. Simple idea. But if it is so simple, why has it not happened? And what about colleges and universities – are they suffering from the same disease?
Your child goes to a school you did not choose. The teachers follow a curriculum you had no say in. The building may be falling apart or it may be beautiful – that depends almost entirely on your zip code. If you are wealthy, you can move to a better district or pay for private school. If you are not, you are stuck. And the people who run the system have very little reason to care what you think. That is the state of American education. How did it get this way?
“All men are created equal.” We hear those words so often they slide right past us. But what do they actually mean? Thomas Jefferson wrote them. He also owned slaves until the day he died. Clearly, even the man who drafted the Declaration of Independence did not mean everyone is identical in talent, strength, or intelligence. So what did he mean – and how has the meaning of “equality” changed over two centuries?
In Part 1, we saw how the welfare state grew from a handful of emergency programs during the Great Depression into a sprawling empire that spent more than the Army, Navy, and Air Force combined. We looked at Social Security, the welfare mess, and the math that did not add up. Now the question is: why do these programs keep failing, and what would actually work better?
Imagine you sign up for a retirement plan. Your employer tells you the money goes into a trust fund. Every paycheck, a chunk disappears under the label “contribution.” You believe that somewhere, in some account with your name on it, your savings are growing. Then one day you find out there is no account. There is no fund. The money you paid in was handed directly to someone who retired before you. And your retirement depends entirely on whether people who come after you are willing to do the same for you. That is Social Security. And it is just one piece of a much larger story.
The Great Depression was not what you think it was. Most people believe it was the ultimate proof that capitalism is dangerous and unstable. That free markets, left alone, will eventually destroy themselves. Friedman says this story is almost exactly backwards. The Depression was not a failure of the free market. It was a failure of government – specifically, a small group of people at the Federal Reserve who had the power to prevent the disaster and chose not to use it.
Every country says it wants to protect its workers. Every government says tariffs and controls are there to help ordinary people. Friedman says: look at the results, not the speeches. In almost every case, the people these controls claim to protect are the ones who pay the highest price.
Nobody on this planet knows how to make a pencil. Not one single person. That is not a joke. It is the opening argument of Chapter 1 of Free to Choose, and once you understand it, you will never look at the economy the same way again.
Two documents changed the world in 1776. One told a king to back off. The other explained why free people, left alone, build prosperity almost by accident. Milton Friedman opens Free to Choose by connecting these two ideas and showing how they built the richest nation in history. He also warns that America has been slowly walking away from both.
Why do some countries become rich while others stay poor? Why do government programs meant to help people so often make things worse? And how does a simple pencil prove that millions of strangers can cooperate without anyone telling them what to do?
We made it. Fifteen posts, twelve chapters, and one very thorough book about hedge fund compliance. If you stuck with this series from beginning to end, thank you. That was a long ride.
This is the last real chapter. Scharfman wraps up the book by looking ahead. What trends are shaping hedge fund compliance going forward? What should people in the industry worry about?
This is Part 2 of Chapter 11. If you missed Part 1 about compliance consulting, start there. This half covers the interview with Vinod Paul from Eze Castle Integration. The focus here is cybersecurity, cloud computing, data protection, and disaster recovery for hedge funds.
Chapter 11 is different from everything before it. Instead of explaining rules and frameworks, Scharfman sits down with real people who do compliance work every day. He interviews two compliance service providers and lets them talk about what they actually see in the field.
Chapter 10 of Scharfman’s book is one of the most practical chapters so far. Instead of explaining rules or regulations, it focuses on six real mistakes hedge funds make with their compliance programs. Let me walk you through all six.
Chapter 9 is where Scharfman stops talking theory and starts showing what compliance looks like in practice. He gives us two hypothetical scenarios (basically role-play conversations) and two real SEC enforcement cases. Each one teaches a lesson about what can go wrong when compliance is treated as an afterthought.
Up until now in this series, we talked about compliance from the hedge fund’s point of view. How they build programs, hire people, write policies. Chapter 8 flips the script. Now we look at it from the investor side. How do investors figure out if a fund’s compliance is actually good?
Previous chapters talked about the people and systems behind hedge fund compliance. Chapter 7 shifts focus to paperwork. And yes, I know paperwork sounds boring. But here’s the thing: without proper documentation, a hedge fund’s compliance program basically does not exist. At least not in the eyes of regulators.
So far in this series we talked about in-house compliance. The people inside a hedge fund who make sure rules are followed. But here’s the thing. Sometimes that’s not enough. Sometimes you need to call in outside help.
Technology runs everything these days. Hedge funds are no different. Chapter 5 of Scharfman’s book looks at how hedge funds use technology specifically for compliance. Not for trading. Not for making money. For following the rules and keeping records.
In the last chapter we talked about the Chief Compliance Officer. The person in charge. But here’s the thing. One person can’t do everything. Even the best CCO needs a team. Chapter 4 is about how that team gets built and how the whole thing works together.
Every hedge fund needs someone who keeps things legal. That person is the Chief Compliance Officer, or CCO. Chapter 3 of Jason Scharfman’s book breaks down what a CCO actually does, what qualifications they need, and how the whole regulatory reporting process works.
You made it to the final chapter. Ten chapters of signals, risk models, portfolio construction, trading costs, and sustainability considerations. Now the question is simple: does all of this actually work?
Chapter 2 of Scharfman’s book is all about regulation. Who makes the rules for hedge funds? Who enforces them? And what happens when the regulators actually show up at your door? Let’s break it down.
Previous: Liquidity and Trading in Fixed Income
ESG is everywhere. Every asset manager talks about it. Every pitch deck has a slide on it. But does sustainability data actually help you pick better bonds?
Let’s start with the basics. What does “compliance” even mean? In simple words, compliance is how an organization follows the rules. Every industry has rules. Healthcare, construction, science, finance. The government usually writes these rules, but sometimes they come from other places too.
You can build the most brilliant bond portfolio model in the world. But if you can’t actually trade the bonds you want, none of it matters.
So I just finished reading “Hedge Fund Compliance: Risks, Regulation, and Management” by Jason A. Scharfman, and I wanted to share what I learned. This book is dense. Like, really dense. But the stuff inside is important if you want to understand how hedge funds actually follow the rules (or don’t).
Emerging market bonds sound exotic. But they are actually a massive, growing slice of the global fixed income universe. We’re talking about $29.6 trillion in total EM fixed income as of 2020. And yet most investors either ignore them completely or treat them as a single homogenous bucket of “risky stuff.”
Previous: Picking Corporate Bonds: Credit-Sensitive Security Selection (Part 1)
In Part 1, we covered value signals and default models for corporate bonds. Now let’s get into the other three investment themes: momentum, carry, and defensive. Then we’ll see what happens when you combine them all. And yes, we’ll talk about machine learning too.
Government bonds had 13 sovereign issuers to choose from. Corporate bonds? Try over 3,000 issuers and 15,000 individual bonds across developed markets alone.
So you want to pick government bonds. Not just any bonds. You want to pick the right ones, from the right countries, at the right part of the yield curve. Chapter 5 of Richardson’s book shows you how to do that systematically.
You know those fund managers who claim they’re beating the market with skill? Richardson basically pulls back the curtain in Chapter 4 and says: most of them are just loading up on credit risk. That’s not alpha. That’s beta wearing a fancy suit.
So you own bonds. You collected your term premium and credit premium from Chapter 2. Good. But can you do better than just holding them? Can you turn the dial up when bonds look attractive and dial it down when they don’t?
Chapter 2 asks a question every investor should care about. Why put money in bonds at all? Stocks get more attention, they’re flashier, and over long periods they tend to return more. So what’s the case for fixed income?
Previous: Introduction to the Series
Before we get into the weeds of bond investing, we need to agree on some basics. What even is a bond? How big is this market? And what does “systematic” mean when people throw that word around?
Bonds are boring. That’s the general take, right? Stocks get all the attention. Crypto gets all the hype. Bonds just sit there collecting interest like a savings account with extra steps.
Twenty-nine posts. Twenty biases. Four investor types. Two guidelines. And one big idea that runs through everything: you are not a rational investor, and that is okay as long as you know it.
Chapter 27 is the final content chapter of the book, and it is the one that brings everything together. After learning about 20 biases, two guidelines, a diagnostic framework, and two case studies, we now get the detailed profiles of all four Behavioral Investor Types.
We have spent the last 23 chapters learning about 20 different biases. That is a lot of biases to keep track of. Even for a financial advisor who does this for a living, diagnosing each client for all 20 biases would take forever.
Chapter 25 is where all the theory from the entire book gets applied to actual people. Well, fictional people. But they feel real enough that you will probably recognize yourself or someone you know in one of them.
After 20 chapters of learning about individual biases, Pompian finally gets to the big question: so what do you actually DO with all this knowledge?
This is the last emotional bias in Pompian’s book, and it is an interesting one because it touches on identity. Affinity bias is about investing based on who you think you are (or who you want to be), rather than what actually makes financial sense.
The opening quote of this chapter is from Harry Markowitz, the father of Modern Portfolio Theory. He said he split his retirement contributions 50/50 between bonds and equities because he wanted to “minimize my future regret.” Not maximize returns. Not optimize the efficient frontier. Minimize regret.
You know that feeling when you are selling something on Craigslist and you think your used couch is worth $500, but nobody will pay more than $200? That is endowment bias in action. The moment you own something, it magically becomes more valuable in your mind.
Machiavelli said it over 500 years ago: “Whosoever desires constant success must change his conduct with the times.” But here we are, centuries later, and most of us still prefer to just… not change anything.
So here is what happened: I read this chapter about self-control bias and immediately thought about every time I bought something I did not really need instead of putting that money into savings. This one hits close to home for pretty much everyone.
If loss aversion is the most damaging emotional bias, overconfidence is probably the most common one. And Pompian goes as far as calling it “one of the most detrimental biases that an investor can exhibit.”
We are now entering Part 4 of Michael Pompian’s book, and this is where things get really interesting. We are moving from cognitive biases (errors in thinking) to emotional biases. And the first one is a big one.
Imagine you are on a cruise ship. Over the entire trip, you see exactly the same number of green boats and blue boats. But most of the green ones pass by toward the end of the trip, and the blue ones are spread out earlier. When you get home, which color do you remember seeing more? Green. Obviously green. You saw so many of them.
Imagine a fund manager who concentrated her entire portfolio into 15 stocks, made two huge winning bets, had four terrible losers, and ended up beating her benchmark by 6% per year over five years. Impressive track record, right? Most investors would look at those returns and throw money at her.
“Heads I win, tails it’s chance.” That quote from researchers Ellen Langer and Jane Roth opens Chapter 14 of Pompian’s book, and honestly, it is the most perfect summary of self-attribution bias I have ever seen.
Quick question: what kills more people in the United States, shark attacks or falling airplane parts? If you said shark attacks, you are wrong. Falling airplane parts are actually 30 times more likely to kill you. But shark attacks are dramatic, they are all over the news, and they make great movie plots. So your brain says: sharks are clearly the bigger threat.
This is the final post in a 14-part series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
Yogi Berra once said: “You better cut the pizza in four pieces, because I’m not hungry enough to eat six.” It is funny because it is absurd. The amount of pizza does not change based on how you slice it. But here is the thing: when it comes to money and investing, people make exactly this kind of mistake all the time. They just do not realize it.
This is post 13 in a series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
Let me ask you something. Is the population of Canada greater or less than 20 million? Now, without looking it up, guess the actual number.
Adam Smith put it simply: “Every man lives by exchanging.”
That one sentence captures something fundamental about how economies work. People trade. Countries trade. And the countries that trade the most tend to be the richest.
The 2008 financial crisis broke a lot of things. Banks failed. Markets crashed. Millions lost their jobs.
But it also broke something less obvious: the idea that light-touch regulation was good enough to keep the financial system safe.
Here is a question for you. You find $500 on the street. Same week, you get a $500 check from your mother as a gift. Is this the same money? Logically, yes. A dollar is a dollar. But here is the thing: most people will treat these two amounts completely differently. The street money? Easy come, easy go. Let’s spend it on something fun. Mom’s check? Better save it. She said it was for a rainy day.
This is post 10 in a series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
David Beckham said “Hindsight is a wonderful thing.” Chapter 9 is the last of the belief perseverance biases in Pompian’s book, and it might be the most relatable one. Because we all do this. Every single one of us.
Abraham Lincoln said: “I claim not to have controlled events, but confess plainly that events have controlled me.” If Lincoln could admit that, why can’t most investors?
This is post 9 in a series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
Colin Powell said it best: “Fit no stereotypes.” Chapter 7 of Pompian’s book is about representativeness bias, which is basically your brain using shortcuts and stereotypes instead of doing actual math.
So you know what inflation is and what causes it. But how do you actually measure it?
Turns out there’s more than one way. And the differences between those measurements matter a lot more than you’d think.
Francis Bacon said it centuries ago: humans are “more moved and excited by affirmatives than by negatives.” Chapter 6 of Pompian’s book is about confirmation bias, and honestly, this might be the most dangerous bias in the whole book.
Milton Friedman once said: “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.”
That’s one of the most quoted lines in all of economics. And it’s a great starting point for understanding what inflation actually is, where it comes from, and why it matters so much.
Warren Buffett opens this chapter with a quote about needing a sound framework for decisions and the ability to keep emotions from corroding that framework. Chapter 5 is about one specific way emotions corrode it: by making you too slow to update your beliefs.
In the last post, we looked at the big productivity puzzle. Record employment, weak economy. More jobs, less output per person.
You know that feeling when you buy something and then find out there was a better deal elsewhere? That little knot in your stomach? Congratulations, you just experienced cognitive dissonance.
Thomas Malthus once warned that population growth would always outstrip the economy’s ability to keep up. People would multiply faster than food could be grown and goods could be produced.
Chapter 3 of Pompian’s book is short but important. It is the setup chapter. Before getting into 20 specific biases over the next 20 chapters, he wants you to understand what biases are, why they matter, and how they break down into categories.
This is post 4 in a series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
This is post 3 in a series on Trading Economics: A Guide to Economic Statistics for Practitioners & Students by Trevor Williams and Victoria Turton (Wiley Finance, 2014, ISBN: 978-1-118-76641-5).
Chapter 2 of Pompian’s book is basically a history lesson. But here’s the thing: it is a surprisingly interesting one. Because when you trace where behavioral finance came from, you realize that humans have been making the same stupid money mistakes for centuries.
John Maynard Keynes once talked about “animal spirits.” He meant the spontaneous urge to action rather than inaction. Not cold, rational calculation. Just a gut feeling that says “let’s go” or “let’s wait.”
There is a great quote at the start of this chapter. Meir Statman from Santa Clara University says: “People in standard finance are rational. People in behavioral finance are normal.” That one sentence pretty much captures the whole idea of this book.
I just finished reading a book that honestly changed how I think about investing. And I’ve been investing for a while now.
You hear it all the time. The GDP numbers came in. Inflation is up. The PMI dropped. Markets reacted.
But what do these numbers actually mean? And why do traders, investors, and policymakers care so much about them?
This is the last post in the series, and I want to step back from the details. No more beta coefficients or efficient-market debates. Just the big picture.
We left off with Malkiel’s stock-picking rules and the suggestion to index the core of your portfolio. Now comes the rest of Chapter 15, where he tackles what to do if you’d rather let someone else do the work. And then he wraps up the whole book.
After fourteen chapters of theory, history, and bubbles, Malkiel finally gets to the practical stuff. Chapter 15 is called “Three Giant Steps Down Wall Street.” It’s his playbook. Three ways to actually invest your money.
A thirty-four-year-old and a sixty-four-year-old should not invest the same way. This seems obvious when you say it out loud. But a surprising number of people treat investing like it’s one-size-fits-all.
Chapter 13 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street is where Malkiel teaches you to be a financial bookie. Not the kind who takes bets on horse races. The kind who can look at the market and make a reasonable guess about what stocks and bonds will return over the long run. You still won’t be able to predict what the market does next month. But you’ll have a framework for setting realistic expectations.
We made it through the whole book. Every chapter. Every pillar. Now it’s time to step back and look at the big picture.
We’ve gone through all ten chapters of Bob Helms’ Be in the Top 1%, and I want to share my overall impressions and key takeaways.
Chapter 12 is where Malkiel stops talking theory and starts telling you what to actually do with your money. He calls it “A Fitness Manual for Random Walkers,” and it’s basically a checklist of boring but essential financial steps you need to take before you start picking stocks. Think of it as stretching before a run. Skip it, and you’ll pull something.
Previous: Contracts, Offers, and Sales Techniques
This is the second half of Chapter 10, and it shifts from deal mechanics to the business itself. How you build systems, get referrals, network effectively, and keep clients coming back. If the first half was about winning individual deals, this half is about building a career that compounds.
All four pillars are covered. Fundamental analysis, technical analysis, cash flow, and risk management. Now Andy wraps up the book with the practical question: what do you actually do next?
Chapter 11 is where Malkiel fights back. After spending the last chapter letting behavioral finance people take their best shots at the efficient market theory, he rolls up his sleeves and defends it. Researchers have been trying to kill this theory for decades. Malkiel says they keep missing.
Previous: Preparing to Become a Successful Agent
Chapter 10 is the longest chapter in Bob Helms’ book, and for good reason. It covers the habits that separate top agents from everyone else. This first part focuses on something most agents get wrong: how to write offers that actually win.
The fourth and final pillar. If the first three pillars are about finding opportunities and taking positions, this one is about not losing your shirt.
This is the final post in my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Up to this point in the book, Malkiel has described theories built on a simple assumption: investors are rational. They weigh risks, calculate value, and make sensible decisions. Chapter 10 throws all of that out the window. Because here’s the thing. People are not rational. And two psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, spent decades proving it.
In the last post, we talked about positioning and the difference between long and short positions. Now Andy gets into the tool that makes cash flow investing in the stock market actually work: options.
Previous: Using IRAs to Buy Real Estate
Chapter 9 of Bob Helms’ book is all about preparing yourself before the opportunities show up. Because here’s the thing: being ready when the right deal appears is what separates agents who close from agents who watch.
This is part 10 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Let me tell you about a little girl named Alaina Smith, a brain-eating amoeba, and one federal employee who sat between those two things. This chapter hit differently than most in the book.
Chapter 9 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street opens with a quote from George Stigler: “Theories that are right only 50 percent of the time are less economical than coin-flipping.” That’s a warning shot. Malkiel is about to walk us through some fancy academic models. And then he’s going to tell us they don’t quite work the way everyone hoped.
We’ve covered the first two pillars: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Those are your information-gathering tools. They help you understand what’s happening and why.
This is part 9 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Most of the chapters in this book are written by journalists profiling strangers. This one is different. W. Kamau Bell, the comedian and TV host, writes about his own goddaughter. Her name is Olivia Rynberg-Going, and she’s a paralegal at the Department of Justice antitrust division. She’s in her early twenties. She loves her job.
Previous: Should You Take On Partners?
This is a book retelling of “Be in the Top 1%” by Bob Helms (Chapter 8). I’m sharing the key ideas in my own words, with my own commentary mixed in.
Chapter 8 opens Part Three of the book, titled “The New Investment Technology.” We’re leaving behind the debate over whether analysts can predict stock prices. Now we’re entering the world of academic theories that actually changed how professionals invest.
Previous: How to Build and Manage a Real Estate Portfolio
This is a book retelling of “Be in the Top 1%” by Bob Helms (Chapter 7). I’m breaking down the key ideas in my own words, adding my own thoughts where it makes sense.
Chapter 5 of Stock Market Cash Flow (ISBN: 978-1-937832-48-3) by Andy Tanner moves into the second pillar: technical analysis. If fundamental analysis tells you the strength of a company, technical analysis tells you the strength of the market for that company’s stock.
This is part 8 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Here’s something nobody tells you about the National Archives: if you live west of Pittsburgh and east of Guam, chances are the records that document your family’s story are roughly 2,000 miles away from you.
Chapter 7 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street asks a question that should make every investor uncomfortable. All those analysts on Wall Street, the ones in suits flying first class and talking earnings forecasts all day, can they actually predict the future? Malkiel digs into the evidence. And it’s not pretty.
In the second half of Chapter 4 of Stock Market Cash Flow (ISBN: 978-1-937832-48-3), Andy Tanner zooms in from analyzing entire countries to analyzing individual companies. Same fundamental analysis principles, just a different scale.
Previous: Tax Benefits of Owning Real Estate
Chapter Six of Be in the Top 1% is about going from owning a property to owning a portfolio. Bob Helms doesn’t sugarcoat it. He starts by basically saying that “make me wealthy” is not a plan. It’s a wish. And wishes don’t build real estate empires.
This is part 7 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Picture this. It’s early morning in Hamburg, New York. A guy named Jarod Koopman is teaching Brazilian jiu-jitsu. He weighs 180 pounds and he just pinned a 280-pound student to the floor without breaking much of a sweat. Then he changes clothes, drives to an office, sits down at a computer, and spends the day hunting terrorists and child predators through cryptocurrency.
Chapter 6 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street is where Malkiel stops being polite about technical analysis. He opens with a Gilbert and Sullivan quote: “Things are seldom what they seem. Skim milk masquerades as cream.”
Chapter 4 of Stock Market Cash Flow (ISBN: 978-1-937832-48-3) by Andy Tanner gets into the first pillar: fundamental analysis. And it starts with a really basic but important idea.
Previous: How to Value Investment Properties
Chapter Five of Be in the Top 1% is where Bob Helms talks about taxes. And honestly, it might be the most important chapter in the whole book if you care about actually keeping the money you make.
This is part 6 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Most chapters in this book have a person at the center. A scientist, an engineer, a government worker doing something remarkable. This chapter is different. John Lanchester’s essay is about a number. Just one number. And by the end, you’ll understand why that one number matters more than almost anything else the government produces.
Chapter 5 kicks off Part Two of the book: “How the Pros Play the Biggest Game in Town.” On a typical trading day, shares worth hundreds of billions change hands. Fresh Harvard Business School grads pull $200,000 salaries in good years. The top money managers handle over a trillion dollars in hedge fund assets.
Previous: Understanding Investment Properties
Chapter 4 opens with a quote that Helms borrows from his colleague Russell Gray: “Do the math and the math will tell you what to do.” The funny part? Gray actually hated math growing up. He avoided it until he realized that math gets a lot more interesting when the numbers have dollar signs in front of them.
In Chapter 3 of Stock Market Cash Flow (ISBN: 978-1-937832-48-3), Andy Tanner finally lays out the big framework. The four pillars of investing. Everything you’ll ever learn about stock investing fits into one of these four buckets. And once you see them, you can’t unsee them.
This is part 5 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Here’s something wild: we are probably going to find evidence of life on another planet within the next 25 years. Not “maybe someday.” Within our lifetimes. And the people doing that work are government scientists at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, working in boring beige buildings near Pasadena, California, spending your tax dollars to answer one of the oldest questions in human history.
The bubbles from the sixties through the nineties were bad. But compared to what happened in the early 2000s, they were rehearsals.
Chapter 2 is where Andy Tanner zooms out and shows you the full picture of wealth building. Before talking about specific stock strategies, he explains where paper assets (stocks and options) fit alongside other types of investments.
This is part 4 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Casey Cep opens this chapter with a story that stops you cold.
Previous: A Rookie Agent’s First Deal
Here’s a wild thing Bob Helms points out in Chapter 3. Real estate investors have basically had to figure everything out by themselves. For years, almost nobody in the agent world was actually helping them find performing properties, analyze deals, or think through tax strategies. Investors were just out there winging it.
After covering tulip mania and the South Sea Bubble, you might think Wall Street eventually learned its lesson. It didn’t. Chapter 3 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street is Malkiel’s tour through modern speculation, from the 1960s to the 1990s. And the twist? This time the “smart money” is doing the speculating.
Previous: Why Most Real Estate Agents Ignore the Most Profitable Niche
Chapter 2 is where Bob Helms tells the story of his very first deal as an agent. And it’s a good one, because it includes a rookie mistake so bad it nearly ended his career before it started.
Chapter 1 of Stock Market Cash Flow sets up something important. Before Andy Tanner teaches you any actual investing strategy, he wants to change how you think about learning itself.
This is part 3 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
Here’s the thing about bureaucrats: most of us picture someone shuffling papers in a beige office. We don’t picture someone going underground in a West Virginia coal mine to figure out why people keep dying.
Chapter 2 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street is basically a horror movie. Except the monsters are regular people losing their minds over tulip bulbs, fake companies, and stocks they couldn’t afford. Malkiel walks us through three of history’s wildest financial bubbles, and the pattern is always the same. People get greedy, prices go insane, and then everything falls apart.
This is part 2 of my series on Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis.
The introduction to this book is Lewis explaining how he stumbled into what he calls a “journalistic gold mine.” And his framing is interesting because he talks about it like a Wall Street trade.
Before we get into the actual chapters, the book opens with a foreword by Robert Kiyosaki and an introduction from Andy Tanner himself. Both sections set the tone for everything that follows. And honestly, they’re worth talking about on their own.
Chapter 1 of Bob Helms’ book opens with a stat that should make every real estate agent sit up straight. According to the California Association of Realtors, which has about 500,000 members, only 5% of agents will be involved in more than one investment property transaction in their entire career. That’s 1 out of every 20 agents.
Chapter 1 of A Random Walk Down Wall Street opens with an Oscar Wilde quote: “What is a cynic? A man who knows the price of everything, and the value of nothing.” That sets the tone for the whole book. Malkiel is about to spend hundreds of pages arguing that most people on Wall Street know the price of stocks but not their actual value.
I just finished reading Be in the Top 1% by Bob Helms, and I want to walk through it with you chapter by chapter. This isn’t a dry book report. It’s more like me telling you what I found interesting, what surprised me, and what actually seems useful.
If you’ve ever heard “just put your money in the stock market and wait,” you’re not alone. That’s pretty much the default advice everyone gets. Your parents say it. Financial advisors say it. Random people on the internet say it.
I just finished reading Who Is Government?: The Untold Story of Public Service by Michael Lewis, and I want to walk you through it chapter by chapter.
I picked up this book because I kept hearing the same advice everywhere: just buy index funds. But nobody really explained why. They’d say things like “you can’t beat the market” and leave it at that.
That is it. Twenty-nine chapters, seven parts, and around forty posts later, we are done with “Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners” by Larry Harris (ISBN: 0-19-514470-8, Oxford University Press, 2003).
This is the last chapter of the book, and Harris saved a spicy one for the end. Chapter 29 is about insider trading. You might think it is simple: insiders trade on secret info, SEC catches them, they go to jail. But Harris shows that the whole topic is way more complicated than that. There are actually serious economists who argue insider trading should be legal. Let me explain.
In Part 1 we looked at how bubbles form and crashes happen. Now the obvious follow-up: can we actually prevent this stuff? Or at least make it less painful? Harris walks through the tools markets use to deal with extreme volatility, and the picture is more complicated than you would expect.
This is the most dramatic chapter in the entire book. Bubbles inflate, crashes wipe out fortunes, and panic replaces logic. If you ever watched a stock chart go vertical and wondered “how does this end?”, Harris answers that question here. Spoiler: badly for whoever is holding the bag last.
Chapter 27 is a fascinating time capsule. Harris wrote this around 2003, when the debate between floor trading and electronic trading was still alive. The NYSE was building a new trading floor. The Chicago exchanges were still mostly pit-based. Reading it now, knowing how completely electronic trading won, is like reading someone in 1995 carefully weighing the pros and cons of email versus fax machines.
Should all trading in a stock happen in one place, or is it okay to have dozens of venues competing for your order? Chapter 26 is about exactly this tension, and honestly, it is one of the most relevant chapters in the whole book if you want to understand why modern markets look the way they do.
If you use Robinhood or any zero-commission broker, this chapter explains how the sausage is made. You pay zero commission, sure. But someone is paying your broker for the privilege of filling your order. That someone is a wholesale dealer, and the payment is called “payment for order flow.” Chapter 25 breaks down how this works and whether it hurts you.
The New York Stock Exchange used to have these people called specialists. Each one was assigned a handful of stocks and was basically the boss of all trading in those stocks. They stood at a physical post on the floor, saw every order coming in, ran the opening auction, and traded with their own money when nobody else would. One of the most privileged positions in finance. And one of the most controversial.
If you have money in a Vanguard or Fidelity index fund, or you buy SPY or VOO through your brokerage app, Chapter 23 is basically about you. Harris wrote this in 2003, but it reads like a prediction of what actually happened. Index investing went from a niche idea to the default way normal people invest. This chapter explains why.
This is the part of the book where Harris basically tells you that almost everything you think you know about picking winning traders is wrong. If Part 1 was about how hard it is to evaluate past performance, Part 2 is about why predicting future performance is nearly hopeless. And honestly, it is one of the most important chapters in the entire book.
Chapter 22 should be required reading before anyone picks a mutual fund, hires a money manager, or brags about stock returns at a dinner party. Harris basically proves, with math, that telling skill from luck in investing is almost impossible.
You know how every finance influencer tells you “minimize your trading costs”? Cool advice. But nobody tells you how to actually measure those costs. That is what chapter 21 is about. It turns out measuring transaction costs is surprisingly hard, and every method has problems.
Chapter 20 is one of the shorter chapters in the book, but it covers something every trader thinks about constantly: volatility. Why do prices move? Why do they sometimes move way more than the actual news justifies? Harris breaks it down into two types and explains why the distinction matters more than most people realize.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
This is the final post in my series covering Financial Markets and Institutions by Jeff Madura. Over the previous posts, I worked through all 25 chapters and 7 parts of the book. Here is what it all adds up to.
Everyone in finance talks about liquidity. Traders want it, exchanges advertise it, regulators worry when it disappears. Yet if you ask five people what liquidity actually means, you will get five different answers. Chapter 19 is where Harris finally pins it down. His definition is simple: liquidity is the ability to trade large size quickly, at low cost, when you want to trade. That is it. But the simplicity hides a lot of complexity.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer ISBN: 9781947200210 (paperback) / 9781947200241 (ebook)
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 25 is the longest chapter in Part 7 and covers two major categories of financial institutions: insurance companies and pension funds. Both are massive investors that channel money from individuals into financial markets. Insurance companies alone hold trillions in assets. Pension funds are some of the largest institutional investors in the world.
If you are a big institutional trader at a mutual fund or pension fund, your daily problem is not “what to buy.” The portfolio manager already decided that. Your problem is how to buy it without the whole market figuring out what you are doing and trading against you.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 47
Previous: Analyzing Buy-and-Hold Rental Properties | Next: Final Thoughts on Real Estate by the Numbers
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 24 is about securities firms, and it covers a lot of ground. These are the companies that sit at the center of capital markets, helping governments and corporations raise money, facilitating trades between investors, and sometimes trading for their own profit. Some are independent. Many are part of larger financial conglomerates. After the credit crisis, some became part of bank holding companies. But their securities operations remain distinct from traditional banking.
We’ve just spent 38 posts deconstructing Larry Harris’s masterpiece, “Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners.”
In Part 1 we covered what arbitrage is, the different types (pure vs speculative), and how arbitrageurs keep prices consistent across markets. Sounds like easy money, right? Buy low here, sell high there, pocket the difference. This part is about why it is not that simple. Harris lays out four specific risks that make arbitrage genuinely dangerous, and he has some incredible real-world examples to prove it.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 44-46
Previous: Analyzing Transactional Real Estate Deals | Next: BRRRR Strategy Deal Analysis
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 23 covers mutual funds, and it is packed. This is one of the longer chapters because mutual funds are such a big part of the financial system. There are more than 7,500 different mutual funds in the US with total assets of about $12 trillion. If you have a retirement account, you are almost certainly invested in one.
In the final chapter of “Trading and Exchanges,” Larry Harris looks at one of the most controversial topics in finance: Insider Trading. It’s the ultimate “informational advantage,” but is it actually harmful to the economy?
Chapter 17 is about arbitrageurs, and it is one of those chapters that changes how you think about markets. Arbitrageurs are the people who keep prices consistent across different markets and different instruments. Without them, you could have oil priced at 80 dollars in New York and 70 dollars in London, and nobody would fix it.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 41-43
Previous: Planning Your Financial Freedom | Next: Analyzing Buy-and-Hold Rental Properties
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 22 is one of the shorter chapters in the book, but it covers an important piece of the financial system that most people do not think about. Finance companies provide short and intermediate-term credit to consumers and small businesses. They are not banks. They do not take deposits. But they move a lot of money.
In the second half of Chapter 28, Larry Harris looks at what happens after the crash starts. When the market is in freefall, regulators have several “panic buttons” they can press to try and restore order.
Chapter 16 is basically the Warren Buffett chapter. Not that Harris mentions Buffett by name, but the whole idea of value trading is: figure out what something is really worth, wait for the market to misprice it, buy low, sell high. That is the entire philosophy in one sentence. The hard part is everything else.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 40
Previous: Active vs Passive Income in Real Estate | Next: Analyzing Transactional Real Estate Deals
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 21 takes us into the world of thrift institutions. These are the savings banks, savings and loan associations (S&Ls), and credit unions that most of us interact with without thinking twice. They are different from commercial banks in important ways, and this chapter explains exactly how.
Say you manage a pension fund and you need to sell 500,000 shares of some stock. You cannot just drop a market order on the exchange. The order book does not have that much liquidity sitting around. If you try to force it through, you will eat through every level of the book and crash the price on yourself. Chapter 15 is about how these giant trades actually get done.
In Chapter 28, Larry Harris looks at the scariest moments in financial history: Bubbles and Crashes. These aren’t just “volatility”; they are moments where the relationship between price and reality completely breaks down.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 38-39
Previous: Return on Equity and When to Refinance | Next: Planning Your Financial Freedom with Real Estate
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 20 wraps up the commercial banking section by asking a simple question: how do you know if a bank is doing well? Regulators need to spot problems early. Shareholders need to know if their investment is paying off. And bank managers need feedback on whether their strategies are working.
In Chapter 27, Larry Harris looks at the ultimate showdown: The Floor vs. The Computer. In an age of high-speed fiber optics, why do we still have people in colorful jackets yelling at each other in lower Manhattan?
In Part 1 we covered dealer spreads, the two spread components (transaction costs and adverse selection), and why uninformed traders lose no matter what order type they use. Now Harris finishes the chapter with equally important stuff: what determines equilibrium spreads in real markets, how public traders compete with dealers, and what factors predict whether a given instrument will have wide or narrow spreads.
That is 29 chapters. Seven major parts. Hundreds of concepts. One very thorough book about how financial markets actually work beneath the surface.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 19 is where the rubber meets the road. You know what banks are (Chapter 17) and how they are regulated (Chapter 18). Now the question is: how do bank managers actually run these things day to day? The answer involves juggling several types of risk at once while trying to maximize shareholder value.
Most people think insider trading is straightforwardly evil. Rich executives cheating the system by trading on secret information. Easy call, right?
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer Chapter: 37
In Chapter 26, Larry Harris looks at the high-stakes competition between the marketplaces themselves. If you’re a developer building an ECN or a regulator at the SEC, this is the battlefield.
Harris calls chapter 14 the most important chapter in the book. Bold claim for page 297, but he backs it up. The lesson is simple and painful: uninformed traders lose money no matter what they do. Not because they pick the wrong side. Because they trade at all.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 18 is all about the rules banks have to follow. The short version: banks hold other people’s money, so governments regulate them to prevent disasters. The longer version involves a complex web of federal and state agencies, capital requirements, and lessons learned from every financial crisis.
Previous: Floor vs Automated Trading
Chapter 28 is the most dramatic chapter in Trading and Exchanges. It covers the moments when markets go completely sideways. Bubbles that inflate until they pop. Crashes that destroy enormous wealth in hours. And the regulatory responses that try to prevent it all from happening again.
In Chapter 25, Larry Harris explains why the stock market isn’t just one big room. It’s actually thousands of little private rooms all trying to steal business from the main floor. This is Market Fragmentation.
Dealers are merchants. They buy low, sell high, pocket the difference. If you ever bought a used phone from a resale shop, you understand the concept. The shop bought it for less, sells it to you for more. Financial market dealers do the same thing with stocks, bonds, and currencies.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer Chapters: 33-36
So we made it. 17 posts later, and we’ve covered the entire “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann. That was a lot of ground.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 17 shifts the book from financial markets to financial institutions. And it starts with the biggest ones: commercial banks. By total assets, they are the most important type of financial intermediary in the economy. Their core job is simple. Take money from people who have it (surplus units) and move it to people who need it (deficit units). But the way they do it is worth understanding.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer Chapters: 31-32
So we made it through all 15 chapters of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian. Here’s what I think about the whole thing.
Previous: Competition Among Markets
In 1999, the Bangladeshi Stock Exchange replaced its trading floor with an automated system. At the same time, the New York Stock Exchange was considering where to build a new trading floor.
In Chapter 24, we go to the floor of the New York Stock Exchange to meet the Specialists. These aren’t just regular traders; they are members who have been given a specific job by the exchange: keep the market for your stocks “fair and orderly.”
This is the chapter where Harris explains how scammers work the stock market. Chapter 12 is about bluffers: traders who trick other people into bad trades so they can profit. If you ever wondered how pump and dump schemes actually function at a mechanical level, this is it.
I just spent 30 chapters and about a thousand pages with Atlas Shrugged. Now I’m going to tell you what I actually think about the whole thing. No hedging.
This is a retelling of Chapter 14 (Conclusions) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Previous: Internalization and Crossing
You might think there is one stock market. There is not. There are many. And they are all fighting each other for your orders.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer Chapters: 28-30
We made it. Nine chapters. One complete retelling series. And now the question: was this book actually worth the time?
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 16 is where things get global. If you have ever traveled abroad and exchanged dollars for euros or pesos, you already know the basics of the foreign exchange market. But there is a whole world of derivative instruments built on top of currency exchange rates. And they move serious money. Foreign exchange derivatives account for about half of all daily forex transaction volume.
So we made it. 9 chapters, 17 posts, one brain that’s a little more aware of its own tricks.
This was “Investing Psychology: The Effects of Behavioral Finance on Investment Choice and Bias” by Tim Richards (ISBN: 978-1-118-72219-0, Wiley 2014). And it was worth every page.
This is it. Chapter 15 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian is where everything comes together. All those chapters about biases, personality types, asset classes, and financial planning? They were building up to this. The final chapter answers the obvious question: okay, I know my investor type, now what do I actually do with my portfolio?
In Chapter 23, Larry Harris explores one of the biggest financial innovations of the last 50 years: Index Trading. Today, more money moves in index products (like the SPY ETF or S&P 500 futures) than in the individual stocks themselves.
Chapter 11 is about the shady side of trading. Harris introduces order anticipators: people who profit not by knowing what a stock is worth, but by figuring out what other traders are about to do and trading before them. They are parasites. Harris uses that word deliberately. No better prices. No liquidity. They just extract money from other people’s trades.
This is the last chapter. Thirty chapters, three parts, over a thousand pages, and it all comes down to this: a rescue mission, a broken machine, a dead city, and a man standing on a mountain tracing a symbol in the air.
Theory is nice. But does behavioral finance actually work when real people sit across from real bankers with real money on the table?
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer Chapters: 25-27
And that’s a wrap. We’ve gone through every chapter of Real Estate Investment Trust Investing: The Secret to Passive Income from REITs by Mike Hartley (published 2023), and it’s been a ride. Sixteen posts covering everything from “what even is a REIT” to estate planning and ethics. So let me share some final thoughts.
Not every trade happens on an exchange. A lot of trading happens away from organized markets, and how it happens raises some genuinely difficult questions about whether investors are getting a fair deal.
We made it. Chapter 9 is the final content chapter of Tim Richards’ “Investing Psychology.” And it’s not really about new ideas. It’s a wrap-up. A summary. A last attempt to remind you what you should have learned, and why most of us will still ignore it.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 Series: Chapter 15 Review
A swap is an agreement between two parties to exchange a set of payments over time. The most common type swaps fixed interest rate payments for floating ones. Chapter 15 covers the different types of swaps, how they are priced, what risks they carry, and how the swap market nearly brought down the financial system.
In the second half of Chapter 22, Larry Harris digs into why that 5-star mutual fund you saw in a magazine might be a terrible investment. The industry is designed to hide the losers and highlight the lucky.
In Part 1 we covered the four types of informed traders: value traders, news traders, technical traders, and arbitrageurs. Now we get to the really good stuff. What happens when all these informed traders compete? How efficient do prices actually get? And why can markets never be perfectly efficient?
Chapter 9 is the fun one. After eight chapters of yield curves, credit derivatives, and inflation swaps, the authors decided to end the book with something completely different: a collection of trading wisdom organized from A to Z.
Chapter 14 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian takes a step back from psychology and biases. Instead it asks a very basic question: do you actually have a plan? Not an investment strategy. Not a stock pick. A plan. Because financial planning and investing are not the same thing, and a lot of people confuse the two.
The title of this chapter is “The Generator,” and it works on two levels. There is a literal generator involved in Galt’s torture. And there is the question that has haunted the entire novel: who generates the power that keeps the world running, and what happens when they stop?
So the book ends with a bonus chapter. And honestly, it’s one of the most practical parts of the whole thing. Mike Hartley drops 50 tips for REIT investors, split across five categories with 10 tips each. Think of it as a cheat sheet for everything the book covered.
This is the last post. Fifteen posts covering one book. That feels like a lot. But Systems Thinking for Social Change by David Peter Stroh is that kind of book. It has layers. It rewards going slow.
This is a retelling of Chapter 12 (Fintech) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Chapter 8 of Investing Psychology is where Tim Richards takes everything from the book and turns it into a myth-busting session. Ten myths. All of them things most people believe. All of them wrong. Or at least, way more complicated than we think.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 Series: Chapter 14 Review
Options give you the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell something at a specific price by a specific date. That “not the obligation” part is what makes them different from futures. Chapter 14 covers call options, put options, what drives their prices, and how they are used to speculate and hedge.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 24
← How to Compare Real Estate Investments | Capital Stacks and Equity Financing Explained →
Chapter 8 brings us to inflation. And honestly, after all the credit stuff, this chapter feels like a breath of fresh air. It is a different beast. The inflation market is less developed than fixed income or credit. There is no inflation bond future. The options market is thin. Forward inflation trading was still finding its feet when this book was written.
In Chapter 22, Larry Harris asks the million-dollar question: Are you a genius, or just lucky? Most people trade because they want to get rich quickly, but few realize that beating the market is one of the hardest things in the world.
The specialist system is one of those things that sounds simple on paper but gets really complicated in practice. And controversial. Very controversial.
Chapter 10 is where Harris gets into one of the most important ideas in the entire book: how certain traders actually make prices accurate. Not because they want to help society. They just want to make money. The price accuracy is a side effect.
Chapter 13 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian is about the single most important investment decision you will ever make. Not which stocks to buy. Not when to buy them. It is about how you split your money across different types of investments. That is asset allocation.
After sixty pages of philosophy, Rand gets back to doing what she does best: showing a world in freefall and the people trying to survive it.
You don’t become a systems thinker by reading a book. Not even this one.
That’s the honest message of Chapter 13 of Systems Thinking for Social Change. David Peter Stroh has spent the last twelve chapters laying out tools, frameworks, and real-world cases. Now he steps back and says: here’s how you actually grow into someone who thinks this way. It’s a lifelong thing. And it touches more than just your brain.
Part 1 covered stocks and the basics of asset classes. Now in the second half of Chapter 12 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types, Michael Pompian walks through the rest of the investment universe: bonds, hedge funds, real assets, and finally how to put them all together into a portfolio.
This is a retelling of Chapter 7 (Part 2) from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
I know what you’re thinking. Ethics and corporate governance? That sounds like the most boring chapter in the book. But hear me out. This stuff directly affects whether your REIT investment is safe and whether the company is being run in your interest or someone else’s. Chapter 13 of Mike Hartley’s book makes a strong case for why you should care about this.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 Series: Chapter 13 Review
Futures contracts are basically agreements to buy or sell something at a specific price on a specific date in the future. Chapter 13 focuses on financial futures, which cover Treasury bills, Treasury bonds, stock indexes, and individual stocks. Two types of people use them: hedgers who want to reduce risk, and speculators who want to bet on price movements.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 23
← Average Annual Return, CAGR, and Calculating IRR | Property Valuation Methods Explained →
Index trading is one of the most important financial innovations of the twentieth century. And after reading Chapter 22 about how hard it is to identify skilled managers, you can understand why.
Previous: Chapter 6 Part 2
After six chapters of bad news about our brains, Chapter 7 finally gives us something we can actually use. Richards calls it “Good Enough Investing.” Not perfect investing. Not beat-the-market-every-year investing. Just good enough.
In Chapter 21, Larry Harris explains that the commission you pay your broker is only a tiny part of your total cost. For active or large traders, the Implicit Costs are where the real damage happens.
Here’s a question most people never think about. When you walk into a private bank and sit down with an advisor, what exactly is the process? Is there even a process? Or does the advisor just pick investments based on their own favorites and hope for the best?
Chapter 9 is one of those chapters you might be tempted to skip because it sounds theoretical. “Good Markets.” Sounds like an econ textbook subtitle. But Harris actually makes a case here that affects literally everyone, not just traders.
This is the chapter where Ayn Rand stops the plot, looks directly into the camera, and talks for sixty pages.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 20-22
← ROI, Equity Multiplier, Cap Rate, and Cash-on-Cash Return | How to Compare Real Estate Investments →
We continue with Chapter 6 of Tim Richards’ Investing Psychology. In Part 1, we covered the early debiasing strategies. Now we get into the harder stuff: why we can’t let go, why we fall in love with stocks, and whether “good enough” is actually good enough.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 Series: Chapter 12 Review
Most people think buying a stock is simple. You click a button and it happens. Chapter 12 pulls back the curtain on what actually goes on between that click and the execution. It covers order types, margin trading, short selling, the role of market makers, electronic trading, and the regulations that try to keep everything fair.
In Part 1, we saw that statistical tests need 20+ years of data to reliably separate skilled managers from lucky ones. But the problems run even deeper. This section of Chapter 22 covers the traps that make performance evaluation even less reliable than the basic statistics suggest, and what actually works for predicting who will trade well.
Real estate finance sounds intimidating, but it really comes down to a few core ideas. Chapter 12 of Mike Hartley’s book walks through the fundamentals, and honestly, this is stuff that’s useful whether you’re investing in REITs or just trying to understand how money moves through the real estate world.
This is a retelling of Chapter 7 (Part 1) from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
Chapter 10 of “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” is where everything from the earlier chapters comes together. All the biases, prospect theory, loss aversion, mental accounting, it all converges here. Into one practical question: how do you figure out how much risk a client can actually handle?
Up to this point in Behavioral Finance and Investor Types, Michael Pompian has been talking about psychology, biases, and investor personalities. Chapter 12 switches gears. Now he lays out what you can actually invest in. Because knowing your own biases is great, but at some point you need to understand the tools on the table.
You built a plan. You started doing the work. But how do you know if it’s actually working?
Chapter 12 of Systems Thinking for Social Change by David Peter Stroh tackles evaluation. Not the boring, fill-out-a-form kind. The kind that actually tells you whether your change efforts are making things better or just moving numbers around on a spreadsheet.
In Chapter 20, Larry Harris tackles Volatility. Most people see volatility as “risk” or “scary price swings,” but Harris breaks it down into two very different components.
In Part 1 we covered the “normal” reasons people trade: investing, borrowing, exchanging assets, hedging. Those are utilitarian traders who use markets to solve real-world problems. Now we get to the uncomfortable half. Gamblers, speculators, fools, and everyone in between.
There is a moment in this chapter where Hank Rearden carries a dying boy up a slag heap in the dark, and it might be the most human scene Ayn Rand ever wrote.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
We’ve reached the end of Peter Lynch’s Beating the Street. Twenty-six posts later. And the honest answer to “is this book worth reading?” is a clear yes. But maybe not for the reasons you’d expect.
Chapter 6 is called “Debiasing.” After five chapters of telling us how broken our brains are, Richards finally starts talking about what we can actually do about it. The short answer: there is no magic fix. But there are tools that help.
You’ve probably heard the standard advice. When you’re young, put your money in stocks. As you get older, shift to bonds. Simple. Clean. Fits on a napkin.
Here’s a question that keeps coming up in investing: how do you know if a fund manager is actually good, or just lucky?
Nobody gets excited about taxes. I get it. But if you’re investing in REITs, understanding how they’re taxed is genuinely important because it directly affects how much money you actually keep. Chapter 11 of Mike Hartley’s book covers this, and I’ll try to make it as painless as possible.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 16-19
← Asking the Right Questions About Investment Returns | Average Annual Return, CAGR, and Calculating IRR →
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 Series: Chapter 11 Review
How much is a stock actually worth? That is the central question of Chapter 11. And the honest answer is: it depends on who you ask and what model they use. Madura walks through the main valuation methods, explains how risk gets measured, and then tackles whether markets are even efficient enough for any of this to matter.
You figured out what’s broken. You even found the best places to push. But now what? How do you turn a list of insights into an actual plan?
If the Preserver is the cautious tortoise and the Follower goes with the crowd, the Accumulator is the person at the poker table who shoves all in and stares you down while doing it. Chapter 11 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian introduces the most aggressive of the four behavioral investor types.
In Chapter 19, Larry Harris breaks down the most overused word in finance: Liquidity. Everyone wants it, but very few people can define it.
Chapter 8 opens Part II of the book, and it asks one of those questions that sounds obvious until you actually try to answer it: why do people trade?
This is a retelling of Chapter 6 (Part 2) from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
A copper wire breaks in California. A thin rain has been falling since midnight. The wire had been carrying more weather and more years than it was designed to handle. One last raindrop forms on the curve, hangs there gathering weight, and pulls the wire down with it.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 14-15
← Real Estate Tax Basics for Investors | ROI, Equity Multiplier, Cap Rate, and Cash-on-Cash Return →
You know where you are. You know where you want to be. Now what?
Chapter 10 of Systems Thinking for Social Change by David Peter Stroh tackles the hardest part of any change effort: actually getting from here to there. This is Stage 4 of the applied systems thinking process. You have faced current reality. You have made a conscious choice about where you want to go. Now you need to bridge the gap.
So you picked your ideal portfolio. Good stocks, some bonds, maybe real estate. Everything is balanced perfectly. Now what? Do you just sit there and never touch it again?
So that’s Shortfall. A book about a family scandal that turned into something much bigger.
Let me give you my honest take.
And that’s a wrap on “Hedge Fund Analysis” by Frank J. Travers.
Over the past 20 posts, we went through the entire book, from the history of hedge funds all the way to the final scoring model. Here’s what I think you should take away from all of this.
So we’ve talked a lot about investing in REITs as a way to earn passive income. But have you ever wondered what happens on the other side? Like, how do these buildings actually get built, and what role do REITs play in making that happen? Chapter 10 of Mike Hartley’s book breaks this down, and it’s pretty interesting stuff.
We continue with the second half of Chapter 5 from Tim Richards’ “Investing Psychology.” If Part 1 was about how the professional investing industry takes your money, Part 2 is about how corporations and your own trading habits finish the job.
You cannot manage what you cannot measure. Harris opens Chapter 21 with this principle and then spends the rest of the chapter explaining just how hard it is to measure transaction costs properly. The basic idea is simple: compare what you paid to some benchmark price. But the choice of benchmark determines everything, and every benchmark has flaws.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
At the end of Beating the Street, Lynch gives us his final list. Twenty-five rules distilled from two decades of investing. He calls it his “St. Agnes good-bye chorus.” Some of these rules echo what he’s said throughout the book. Others feel like hard-won confessions.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 10 moves from debt markets to equity markets. This is about how companies sell ownership to the public, how stock exchanges work, and how investors try to keep corporate managers honest. If the previous chapters were about lending money, this one is about buying a piece of a company.
In Chapter 18, we look at the world from the perspective of the Buy-Side Traders—the mutual funds, pension funds, and insurance companies that actually own the capital. For these players, every trade is a tactical battle over Order Exposure.
Chapter 10 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian introduces the Independent. If the Follower from the last chapter was the passenger, the Independent is the person who insists on driving. And reading the map. And ignoring the GPS because they “know a shortcut.”
In Part 1 we covered what brokers do, different broker types, and how they make money. Now we get to the uncomfortable part: what happens when your broker does not have your best interests in mind.
This is a retelling of Chapter 6 (Part 1) from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
This is the darkest chapter in Atlas Shrugged. If the rest of the book is about what happens when creators withdraw from the world, “Anti-Life” is about what the people left behind actually want. And the answer is worse than you’d expect.
Chapter 12 is the final chapter and it is where everything comes together. After all the sourcing, screening, interviewing, number crunching, operational checks, risk reviews, and reference calls, Travers shows us how to take all that work and turn it into a single, structured decision.
When we get sick, we go to a doctor. When something breaks, we call a professional. So when it comes to investing, we hand our money to financial experts. Makes sense, right?
Here’s the uncomfortable truth about social change: most people who say they want it are also getting something out of keeping things the way they are.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 9 is the one where everything comes together. Madura covers how mortgage markets work, the different types of mortgages, how they get packaged into securities, and how the whole system collapsed in 2008. If you want to understand the credit crisis, this is the chapter to read.
Chapter 7 of “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” is about structured products. If you’ve never heard of them, don’t worry. Most people haven’t. But by the end of 2007, there were more than 340 billion Swiss francs invested in them in Switzerland alone. That’s 6.5% of all assets under management. Over 20,000 different structured products listed on the Swiss stock exchange.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 12-13
← Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return | Asking the Right Questions About Investment Returns →
This is the second half of Chapter 5, where the authors get into the weeds of how to actually measure value in bonds. If the first half was about understanding the yield curve, this half is about the tools you use to identify which bonds are cheap and which are rich.
In the second half of Chapter 17, Larry Harris explains why being an arbitrageur isn’t just about finding a “money machine.” It’s a risky business that requires massive capital and perfect timing.
Chapter 9 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian introduces the Follower. And honestly, this one probably describes more people than any other type in the book.
If you’ve been following this series on Mike Hartley’s Real Estate Investment Trust Investing, you already know the basics of how REITs work and how to build a portfolio. But here’s the thing. The REIT world isn’t standing still. Technology is changing everything, global markets are expanding, and economic shifts keep reshaping the landscape. So let’s talk about where REITs are headed.
The epilogue of Shortfall is short. Just a few pages. But it might be the most honest part of the whole book.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Buy-and-forget investing sounds great in theory. In practice, it can be dangerous. Lynch points to IBM, Sears, and Eastman Kodak as proof. All three were blue-chip giants. Investors who bought and forgot are sorry they did.
You open Robinhood, tap “Buy,” and 0.3 seconds later you own shares of Apple. Simple, right? But between your thumb tap and that trade actually happening, there is a whole chain of people and systems doing work for you. Chapter 7 is about those people. Brokers.
Volatility is one of those words that everyone uses but most people think about too simply. Prices went up and down a lot today? Volatile. VIX is high? Volatile. Your crypto portfolio lost 40%? Very volatile.
Dagny left paradise. Now she’s back in the real world. And the real world has gotten worse while she was gone.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 8 is where Madura gets into the math behind bond prices. If Chapter 7 was about the types of bonds, this chapter explains how to figure out what they are worth, why their prices change, and how investors manage the risk. It is the most technical chapter so far, but the concepts are fundamental to understanding how fixed-income investing works.
You built the map. You identified the loops. You see why the problem keeps coming back despite everyone’s best efforts. Now what?
So you understand the metrics, you can read financial statements, and you know the risks. Now comes the fun part: actually building a REIT portfolio.
So this is the last post. Eight posts later, we have walked through the entire first half of Artificial Intelligence in Finance by Yves Hilpisch. AI fundamentals, neural networks, superintelligence, financial theory. A lot of ground.
This is post 23 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Chapter 11 opens with a Reagan quote, “Trust but verify.” That pretty much sets the tone. You have spent hundreds of hours doing investment, operational, and risk due diligence on a hedge fund. But have you actually checked whether the people running it are who they say they are?
Chapter 5 brings us to the classic fixed income question: which bonds are cheap and which are rich? But the authors remind us right away that cheap-rich analysis is just one part of relative value. The bigger question remains: what is the best way to express a particular view?
In Part 1 we covered how groups and social pressure mess with your investment decisions. Now let’s get into something even sneakier: how language, trust, and social networks warp the way we think about money.
Everyone talks about liquidity. Traders talk about it. Regulators talk about it. Financial journalists definitely talk about it. But Harris makes a sharp observation right at the start of Chapter 19: rarely does anyone define what they actually mean. People use the same word to describe different things, and then they wonder why they cannot agree on anything.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 10-11
← Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Explained | Real Estate Tax Basics for Investors →
Walter Davis killed himself in a New York police station. And somehow, that still wasn’t the end of the story for the people he hurt.
This is a retelling of Chapter 6, Part 2 (sections 6.7-6.9) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
If you invested $10,000 in five restaurant stocks in the 1960s, splitting the money evenly between Kentucky Fried Chicken, Dunkin’ Donuts, Howard Johnson, Bob Evans Farms, and McDonald’s, you would have become a millionaire at least two times over by the end of the 1980s. Put it all in McDonald’s and you’d be a millionaire four times over.
Chapter 8 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian introduces the first of the Behavioral Investor Types: the Preserver. And honestly, if you’ve ever been too scared to invest your savings because “what if the market crashes tomorrow,” this chapter is about you.
In Chapter 17, we meet the Arbitrageurs. These are the traders who make sure the world makes sense. If gold is $2,000 in New York and $1,990 in London, the arbitrageur buys in London and sells in New York until the prices match. They are the “price harmonizers.”
Chapter 6 is where Harris explains the actual machinery that matches buyers with sellers. If you ever wondered what happens between the moment you hit “buy” and the moment your order fills, this is the chapter.
The chapter title is “The Utopia of Greed” and Rand means every word of it. This is the chapter where she gets to show, not just tell, what her ideal society looks like. And it’s also where the love story finally catches fire.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 7 shifts from money markets (short-term) to bond markets (long-term). Bonds are how governments and corporations borrow money for years or even decades. This chapter covers the different types of bonds, how they work, and how the bond market has gone global.
If you are a retail trader, you tap “buy” on your phone and your order fills in milliseconds. Easy. But if you manage a pension fund and need to buy 500,000 shares of something? That is an entirely different problem. Chapter 18 is about the people who solve it.
This is post 22 of 23 in a series on “Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity” by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN 978-0-7506-7973-2).
This is a retelling of Chapter 6 Part 1 (sections 6.1 through 6.6) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 9
← Expected Value and Time Value of Money | Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return →
Chapter 7 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian is where theory finally meets practice. After six chapters of background, frameworks, and definitions, you actually get to take the quizzes and figure out what type of investor you are. Two quizzes, to be specific.
Chapter 4 of Investing Psychology is where Tim Richards talks about something we all deal with but rarely notice: other people messing with our financial decisions. Not on purpose. Just by existing around us.
This is the second half of Chapter 4, and it is where options come alive. The first half covered basis trading and swap spreads. Now we get into the forward-swap relationship, and then spend serious time on how traders use options to express views on both direction and volatility.
The second half of Chapter 5 in Artificial Intelligence in Finance covers three theories that shaped how Wall Street thinks about investing. Mean-Variance Portfolio theory, the Capital Asset Pricing Model, and Arbitrage Pricing Theory. These ideas have been in every finance course since the 1960s. Hilpisch walks through them with actual Python code instead of just abstract math.
Every investment has risks. Anyone who tells you otherwise is trying to sell you something. REITs are no different. They can be fantastic investments, but you need to go in with your eyes open.
Chapter 10 opens with a Warren Buffett quote: “Risk comes from not knowing what you’re doing.” Hard to argue with that. Travers uses this chapter to walk us through the risk due diligence process, and honestly, some of the findings are pretty eye-opening.
You want to fix homelessness? Great. But can you draw it?
That’s basically the challenge of Chapter 7 of Systems Thinking for Social Change. David Peter Stroh walks through Stage 2a of the systems thinking process: using systems mapping to understand current reality. Not what you wish reality was. Not what your grant proposal says it is. What’s actually happening, why, and how everything connects.
In Chapter 16, Larry Harris introduces us to the Value Traders. While dealers provide “immediacy” for small orders, value traders provide “depth” for the massive moves. They are the market’s ultimate safety net.
Everyone back in Colorado Springs imagined Walter Davis living it up on some tropical island with a woman on his arm and a drink in his hand. The newspapers speculated he was in the South Seas. Or Greece, like the fugitive energy mogul Samuel Insull. Surely the “master criminal” was enjoying his stolen fortune somewhere exotic.
In Part 1 we covered trading sessions and the main execution systems: quote-driven dealer markets and order-driven markets. Now let’s get into brokered markets, hybrid structures, crossing networks, and the information plumbing that holds everything together.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch ran the most famous mutual fund in America. And for years he completely forgot to invest in the companies that sell mutual funds.
Part III of Atlas Shrugged opens and the mystery is over. We finally know who John Galt is. And honestly? The reveal is everything.
Last time we covered what arbitrageurs are and why they matter. But here is the thing: knowing that arbitrage exists is very different from understanding how hard it actually is to pull off. This second half of Chapter 17 gets into the specific strategies, the risks, and the spectacular ways arbitrage can go wrong.
You want to end homelessness in your community. You get a bunch of important people in a room. Everyone nods along about helping the homeless. Great start, right?
This is post 21 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 7-8
← Interest and Compounding in Real Estate | Discounted Cash Flow Analysis Explained →
Chapter 4 is where theory starts doing real work. The authors take the relative value triangle from earlier chapters and actually build trades around it. This is the part where you stop nodding along and start seeing how the pieces fit together.
In Part 1 we covered the big picture of operational due diligence and why so many hedge fund failures trace back to operational problems. Now in Part 2, Travers lays out exactly what to check, what questions to ask, and then shows us a real example interview with the operations team at Fictional Capital Management (FCM).
Financial statements sound boring. I get it. But here’s the thing: if you’re putting your money into REITs, these documents are literally telling you whether that’s a smart move or a terrible one. You just need to know how to read them.
Previous: Chapter 3 Part 1
We’re still in Chapter 3 of Tim Richards’ “Investing Psychology.” In Part 1, we covered how situations mess with your head. Now let’s talk about something even weirder: your mood, the weather, and why shouting “Fire!” in a theater is basically what happens during a market crash.
This is a retelling of Chapter 5 (Diagnostic Tests for Investment Personality) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
This is Chapter 6 of Madura’s textbook, and it covers money markets. These are the markets where short-term debt gets traded. We are talking about securities that mature in one year or less. They might not be exciting, but they keep the financial system running.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Lynch recommended Fannie Mae to the Barron’s panel every single year from 1986 to 1992. It got boring, he admits. But it kept working. There’s a snapshot of Fannie Mae headquarters alongside his family photos on his office shelf. That’s how much the stock meant to him.
Walter Davis was shrewd. Echols makes that clear from the start of this chapter. He set up a holding company called Fleming and Company, named after his handyman, to shuffle foreclosed properties around and keep bad debts off his books. He acquired thirty houses and commercial buildings in the Springs, fifteen houses and an apartment building in Pueblo, and more in Denver. All built on other people’s misery through foreclosures.
Chapter 6 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian is where it all comes together. After two chapters on personality theory and personality testing, Pompian finally introduces the thing the whole book is building toward: his Behavioral Investor Type (BIT) framework.
In Chapter 15, Larry Harris takes us away from the public exchange and into the “Upstairs Market.” If you want to buy 500,000 shares of a stock, you don’t just dump a market order into your app—you’d move the price 10% against yourself before the order was half-finished.
Chapter 5 is where Harris gets into the actual plumbing. You know how in previous chapters we talked about types of traders and types of orders? Now we are looking at the arena where all that happens. Market structure. The rules, the systems, and the “who gets to trade with whom” part.
Chapter 5 of Hilpisch’s book is called “Normative Finance.” And it opens with a quote from Fama and French admitting that the CAPM is built on “many unrealistic assumptions.” That’s a bold way to kick things off. Basically saying: here are the theories that shaped modern finance, and by the way, they don’t quite match reality.
This is the final chapter of Part II, and Rand pulls out every stop. It’s a train ride, a philosophy lecture, a mystery reveal, and a plane crash. It’s also the chapter that finally answers the question the whole book has been asking.
Chapter 4 covered the history of personality theory. Now in Chapter 5 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types, Michael Pompian moves to the practical side: how do you actually test for personality? Because having a theory is nice, but you need a way to measure it. And that’s what this chapter is about.
Book: Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Author: Larry Harris Publisher: Oxford University Press, 2003 ISBN: 0-19-514470-8
This is post 20 of 23 in a series on “Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity” by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Previous: Chapter 2 Part 2
You survived your own ego in Chapter 2. Good job. But here’s the problem. Even if you fix your overconfidence, your environment can still ruin your investing decisions. Chapter 3 of Tim Richards’ book is all about situational finance. The idea that the world around you pushes you into decisions you think are your own.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 4 explained how the Fed is set up and what tools it uses. Chapter 5 goes deeper into how those tools actually affect the economy. This is where it all comes together: money supply changes flow through to interest rates, which affect borrowing, which affects spending, which affects jobs and prices.
Chapter 9 is where Travers shifts from talking about investment analysis to something most people overlook: the boring operational stuff that actually prevents you from losing all your money to fraud.
This is Part 2 of our retelling of Chapter 3 from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
OK so you’ve decided you want to invest in REITs. You know the types, you have a brokerage account, and you’re ready to go. But how do you actually pick a good one? You can’t just close your eyes and throw a dart at a list.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapters: 5-6
← Examining a Cash-Flowing Property | Expected Value and Time Value of Money →
Chapter 4 of Shortfall is where everything falls apart. Not just for Walter Davis, but for every building and loan in Colorado Springs. And honestly, for the whole country.
So far in this chapter, Hilpisch covered AI success stories. AlphaGo, Atari games, chess engines. All impressive stuff. But now the book takes a sharp turn into much bigger questions. What happens when AI stops being narrow and starts being… everything?
Chapter 4 of “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” is short but it hits hard. It asks one simple question: what is actually happening inside your brain when you make money decisions?
So you understand systems thinking. You can spot the archetypes. You know why good intentions backfire. Now what? How do you actually use this stuff to change things?
So I just finished walking through all nine chapters of Richard Wilson’s “The Hedge Fund Book.” And here’s what I think after going through the whole thing.
In the second half of Chapter 14, Larry Harris gives us the “cheat sheet” for predicting how wide a bid/ask spread will be. If you’re building a trading system or managing a portfolio, these are the variables that determine your “slippage.”
Every time you tap “buy” in your brokerage app, you are sending an order. But most people have no idea there are many different kinds of orders, and each one has very different consequences for your wallet. Chapter 4 is basically a field guide to all of them.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
When a government has a garage sale, Peter Lynch tries to attend. He doesn’t care if it’s Uncle Sam or the Queen of England. History shows that whenever the government sells something to the public, the buyers usually do well.
This is the chapter where three characters who love each other end up in the same room and nobody walks away undamaged.
Chapter 4 of Artificial Intelligence in Finance opens with something fun: stories about AI beating humans at games. And honestly, these stories are some of the most fascinating parts of AI history. Games sound trivial, but they’re actually perfect testing grounds for intelligence. If a machine can figure out a game on its own, what else can it figure out?
Traditional finance has this idea that money is the great equalizer. Doesn’t matter if you’re from Japan or Nigeria or Norway. We all want the same thing: good returns, low risk. Press a few buttons, buy some stocks, done.
Ever read a murder mystery? The big question is always “Who did it?” Systems stories ask a different question: “Why can’t smart, well-meaning people solve this problem, even when they’re trying really hard?”
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 4
Previous: The Profit and Loss Statement Explained | Next: How Interest and Compounding Work in Real Estate
In Part 1 we covered the basics and operations side of hedge fund FAQs. Now we get to the stuff that actually makes or breaks a fund in the real world: finding money and building a career. Richard Wilson collects the most common questions he gets about marketing, sales, and working in the industry. Let me walk you through what he says.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
The Federal Reserve is the most powerful financial institution in the United States. Chapter 4 explains how it is organized, how it controls the money supply, and what it did during the 2008 credit crisis. If you want to understand why interest rates change, you need to understand the Fed.
Alright, this is the part a lot of you have been waiting for. We’ve covered what REITs are, the different types, and the various ways they’re structured. Now let’s talk about how you actually put your money to work.
In Part 1 we covered the theory behind onsite interviews. Now Travers takes us inside the actual visit to Fictional Capital Management. This is where we get to see how all those interview techniques play out in a real (well, fictional but realistic) setting.
In Part 1 we talked about overconfidence, loss aversion, and the disposition effect. Now let’s keep going with the rest of Chapter 2. This part gets into emotions, Black Swans, mental accounting, and some practical ideas on how to not sabotage yourself.
This is Part 1 of our retelling of Chapter 3 from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Utility stocks were the great growth stocks of the 1950s. By the time Lynch wrote this book, they’d become income plays. You bought them for the dividend, not the excitement. But Lynch made his best utility gains not from the steady ones. He made them from the troubled ones.
Chapter 4 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian takes a step back from finance entirely. Instead, it walks through the history of personality theory. Why? Because before you can classify investor types, you need to understand how psychologists figured out personality types in the first place.
The 1920s were weird. People went from keeping their savings under the mattress to buying Liberty Bonds to throwing money at building and loan associations promising 7 percent interest. It happened fast. And if you lived in Colorado Springs, the whole town was riding this wave of easy money and big promises.
In Chapter 14, we look at the Bid/Ask Spread. This is the most important number in trading because it’s the price you pay for Immediacy. If you want to trade right now, you pay the spread. If you’re willing to wait, you try to earn the spread.
This is post 19 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
In Part 1 we covered the players: buy side, sell side, brokers, dealers. Now Harris walks us through what they actually trade, where they trade it, and who makes sure nobody burns the whole thing down.
Book: Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Author: Larry Harris Publisher: Oxford University Press, 2003 ISBN: 0-19-514470-8
This chapter does something Rand rarely does. It sits still. For the first half, we’re in the woods with Dagny, watching a woman try to live without the thing she was born to do. And it’s quietly devastating.
This is a retelling of Chapter 2 (second half) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Book: Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Author: Larry Harris Publisher: Oxford University Press, 2003 ISBN: 0-19-514470-8
This is post 18 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Cyclical stocks are the ones that rise and fall with the economy. Aluminum, steel, paper, autos, chemicals, airlines. When business is booming, these companies print money. When the economy tanks, they get crushed. Back and forth, reliable as the seasons.
So we made it. Eighteen posts later, we’ve walked through the entire book. Let me try to pull it all together and tell you what I think.
Chapter 9 of “The Hedge Fund Book” by Richard C. Wilson is basically one giant FAQ section. Wilson says his company gets over 150,000 emails a year, and a huge chunk of them ask the same questions over and over. So he put together the most common ones with answers. Smart move.
Chapter 2 of Tim Richards’ book is called “Self-Image and Self-Worth.” And the title tells you everything. This chapter is about how your ego quietly destroys your investment returns.
This section of Chapter 3 is where things start to click. Hilpisch moves from talking about AI algorithms in general to showing how neural networks actually work. And then he drops a truth bomb that a lot of people skip over: your model is only as good as your data.
You have done the phone calls, crunched the numbers, analyzed the portfolio. Now it is time to actually show up at the hedge fund’s office and talk to people face to face.
This is Part 2 of our retelling of Chapter 2 from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
So you know what REITs are and you know the three types. But there’s another layer to this. Not all REITs are created equal when it comes to how you actually buy and sell them.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 2 explained why the general level of interest rates changes. Chapter 3 answers a different question: why do different securities pay different yields at the same point in time? A Treasury bond and a corporate bond with the same maturity do not offer the same return. This chapter explains why.
Every problem comes with a story attached. Someone caused it. Someone should fix it. Someone is to blame.
That story feels right. It feels complete. But according to Chapter 3 of Systems Thinking for Social Change, that story is exactly what keeps the problem alive.
Chapter 3 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian is where the real meat starts. This is the catalog of all the ways your brain sabotages your investing. Pompian calls them “the building blocks” and splits them into two big groups: cognitive biases and emotional biases.
Six years into Colorado Springs, Walter Davis quit being a stenographer and became a moneylender. By 1912 he was calling himself “The Loan Man” in the city directory. He still listed himself as an attorney, too. He was not an attorney.
In Chapter 13, we meet the Dealers. Larry Harris compares them to any other merchant—like a car dealer or a grocer. They buy inventory at a low price (the Bid) and sell it at a high price (the Ask). Their product isn’t the stock itself; it’s Immediacy. They are selling you the ability to trade right now.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 3
Previous: Understanding Balance Sheets for Real Estate | Next: Examining a Cash-Flowing Property
Chapter 3 is a guided tour of the entire trading industry. Harris warns upfront it’s packed with jargon. He also says you can skip it if you already know this stuff. But if you’re new to how markets work, this chapter is the map you need before going deeper.
After the devastating events of the previous chapter, Chapter 7 slows down just enough to let you feel the wreckage. Directive 10-289 is now in effect. The country is locked in place. And the people who made it work are starting to disappear.
Walter Clyde Davis showed up in Colorado Springs in 1905. He was twenty-four. He carried business cards calling himself a lawyer from Greensburg, Indiana. He also had two letters of recommendation from judges. But those letters recommended him as a stenographer. Not a lawyer.
Chapter 3 of Artificial Intelligence in Finance opens with the quote about AlphaGo beating a human Go player. That event was a big deal back in 2016. People thought it would take at least another decade. It didn’t. And that sets the tone for this chapter. AI moves faster than experts predict.
Chapter 2 of “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” is where the book gets really practical. This is where Hens, De Giorgi, and Bachmann lay out the specific mental traps that mess up our investment decisions. And there are a lot of them.
Book: Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Author: Larry Harris Publisher: Oxford University Press, 2003 ISBN: 0-19-514470-8
The investment industry loves a good buzzword. And for the last several years, “big data” and “machine learning” have been the ones getting all the attention. Fund managers talk about them in the same breath, like they’re the same thing. They’re not. And the authors make that distinction very clear in this final chapter.
This is post 17 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
In Part 1 we looked at how to get portfolio data from 13F filings and started breaking down Fictional Capital Management’s long book. Now we continue with more portfolio metrics and, more importantly, the liquidity analysis that catches the fund manager in a contradiction.
So we made it through the whole book. Seventeen posts later, here’s where I stand on “Introduction to Private Equity, Debt, and Real Assets” by Cyril Demaria (3rd edition, Wiley, ISBN 978-1-119-53737-3).
Chapter 8 of “The Hedge Fund Book” by Richard C. Wilson is about governance. If that word already made your eyes glaze over, stick with me. This is actually one of the more important chapters, because it explains why hedge funds blow up and how simple oversight structures can prevent it.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
Chapter 2 answers a question that affects everyone: why do interest rates go up and down? The answer comes down to supply and demand for money, explained through what economists call the loanable funds theory.
This is Part 2 of Chapter 1 from “Investing Psychology” by Tim Richards. If you missed the first part, go read Chapter 1 Part 1 first. We covered how your senses trick you. Now we get into how your brain takes shortcuts and how other people’s behavior messes with your money.
In Chapter 12, Larry Harris introduces us to the Bluffers. If the Informed Traders are the data scientists, the Bluffers are the illusionists. They don’t have any real information; they just want you to think they do.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
The phrase “limited partnership” makes most investors flinch. And honestly, they have good reason. Thousands of people got burned by tax-shelter schemes in the 1980s. Oil partnerships. Real estate partnerships. Movie partnerships. Even gravesite partnerships. The losses were worse than the taxes they were trying to avoid.
This is Part 1 of our retelling of Chapter 2 from “Trading the Fixed Income, Inflation and Credit Markets: A Relative Value Guide” by Neil C. Schofield and Troy Bowler (Wiley, 2011, ISBN: 978-0-470-74229-7).
Book: Systems Thinking for Social Change Author: David Peter Stroh ISBN: 978-1-60358-580-4
Chapter 2 opens with a real story from Iowa. Two organizations that should have been working together were accidentally making each other’s lives harder. And that pattern? It shows up everywhere.
Now that you know what REITs are and why they exist, let’s talk about the different flavors they come in.
Before getting into theory, Harris tells stories. Chapter 2 walks you through real trading scenarios, from a regular person buying stock to a soybean processor hedging in the futures pit. Each story shows a different corner of the market.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 2
Previous: Your Personal Financial Statement | Next: The Profit and Loss Statement Explained
Chapter 2 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian opens with a quote I really like. Meir Statman from Santa Clara University said: “People in standard finance are rational. People in behavioral finance are normal.” That pretty much sums up the whole chapter.
This chapter is the one the whole book has been building toward. Not the philosophical climax. Not the final battle. But the moment where the looters stop pretending and show exactly what they want. And it is bone-chilling.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch says a casual stockpicker could just grab five S&Ls that fit the Jimmy Stewart profile, invest equal amounts, and do well. One would outperform, three would do OK, one would lag, and the total result would beat owning overpriced blue chips like Coca-Cola or Merck.
After eight chapters of theory, Demaria drops a real case study on us. Not a made-up example. An actual deal. Advent International investing in Kroton Educacional SA, a Brazilian education company. This is where all the concepts from the book come alive.
George Bailey gives away his honeymoon money to save his neighbors. Walter Davis skipped town before anyone found out the money was gone.
Book: Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners Author: Larry Harris Publisher: Oxford University Press, 2003 ISBN: 0-19-514470-8
So you’ve learned how to trade EM credit, local rates, and FX. Now what? How do you actually put it all together into a portfolio? Chapter 10 is about the nuts and bolts of portfolio construction, and it has some genuinely surprising findings about indexes, risk parity, and why ESG is unfair to poor countries.
We’ve spent 15 posts walking through The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health by Dr. Thomas Rau, and it’s been a journey. From the foundations of Swiss biological medicine to the practical details of detox diets, liver cleanses, and the mind-gut connection. So now it’s time to step back and look at the whole picture. What did I take away from this book? What’s worth paying attention to? And what should you approach with healthy skepticism?
Chapter 7 of “The Hedge Fund Book” by Richard C. Wilson gets into the big leagues. We’re talking about hedge funds managing $1 billion or more. What do they do differently? Why do they keep getting bigger while most small funds stay small? Wilson lays out ten best practices from giant funds and brings in two interviews to back it up.
Chapter 7 opens with two quotes. One from Bernard Madoff saying he can’t discuss his proprietary strategy, and one from George Soros about how it’s not about being right or wrong, but how much you make when right and how much you lose when wrong. That contrast alone tells you everything about why portfolio analysis matters.
Previous: Intro post
Chapter 1 of Investing Psychology is called “Sensory Finance.” And it starts with a punch to the ego.
Chapter 1 is the foundation. It covers all the products you need to know before the book gets into the actual trading strategies. If you already know bonds, repos, swaps, and options, you can skim. But honestly, a quick review never hurts.
This is post 16 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
In Chapter 11, Larry Harris introduces us to Order Anticipators. These are parasitic speculators. They don’t care about what a stock is worth, and they don’t provide liquidity. They just want to know what you are about to do so they can do it first.
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
This is Part 1 of a chapter-by-chapter review of Financial Markets and Institutions by Jeff Madura. Chapter 1 sets the stage for the entire book by explaining what financial markets are, what gets traded in them, and why financial institutions exist.
Chapter 1 is where Harris lays out what this whole book is about. And honestly, even this intro chapter packs more useful information than most entire YouTube courses on “how to trade.”
Chapter 2 of Artificial Intelligence in Finance is technically labeled a “Preface,” but it does a lot more than set the stage. Hilpisch opens with a quote from Robert Shiller asking whether financial markets will ever become truly perfect, with every asset priced correctly. It is a big question. And honestly, the way the chapter frames AI in finance around that question is what makes it interesting.
Alright, let’s get into the actual meat of things. What even is a REIT?
In Real Estate Investment Trust Investing by Mike Hartley, the first chapter lays out the foundation for everything that follows. And it starts with a simple idea: you should be able to invest in real estate the same way you invest in any other business. By buying shares.
This is a retelling of Chapter 1 (Introduction) from “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann (Wiley, 2018).
Chapter 1 of Systems Thinking for Social Change by David Peter Stroh opens with a set of headlines that sound like they were written by a troll. But they’re all based on true stories:
Chapter 1 of Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian opens with a Picasso quote: “I’d like to live as a poor man, with lots of money.” That pretty much sets the tone. We all want financial success, but something keeps getting in the way. And that something is usually us.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers | Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer | Chapter: 1
Previous: Intro - Real Estate by the Numbers | Next: Understanding Balance Sheets for Real Estate
The title tells you everything. The account is overdrawn. The world has been spending capital it didn’t earn, using resources it didn’t create, and running on the momentum of producers who are no longer there. And now the bill comes due.
Book: Artificial Intelligence in Finance Author: Yves Hilpisch Publisher: O’Reilly, 2020 ISBN: 978-1-492-05543-3
Here’s a question that bugs me. Can AI actually beat the stock market? Not in a sci-fi movie way. In a real, consistent, make-money-while-you-sleep way.
So I just finished reading this book called Behavioral Finance and Investor Types by Michael M. Pompian. And honestly? It messed with my head a little. In a good way.
So I just finished reading “Behavioral Finance for Private Banking” by Thorsten Hens, Enrico G. De Giorgi, and Kremena K. Bachmann. Second edition, published by Wiley in 2018. ISBN: 9781119453703.
If Chapter 11 was about the parasites who trade ahead of you, Chapter 12 is about the con artists who trick you into trading badly. Bluffers are profit-motivated traders who create false impressions to fool other traders. And Harris walks through their playbook in detail that is genuinely uncomfortable.
Chapter 12 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is where Dr. Rau goes beyond food and organs and talks about something that a lot of health books skip entirely: the relationship between what you eat and who you are.
This is the final chapter. Demaria wraps up the whole book by looking forward. Where is private equity going? What are the big risks ahead? And could the industry actually destroy itself by being too successful? Let’s go through it.
Previous: EM Credit Part 1 Next: Portfolio Construction
Book: Trading Fixed Income and FX in Emerging Markets Authors: Dirk Willer, Ram Bala Chandran, Kenneth Lam Publisher: Wiley (2020) ISBN: 978-1-119-59905-0
Book: Financial Markets and Institutions, 11th Edition Author: Jeff Madura (Florida Atlantic University) Publisher: Cengage Learning, 2015 ISBN: 978-1-133-94788-2
If you have ever wondered how money actually moves through the economy, this is the book that breaks it all down. Financial Markets and Institutions by Jeff Madura is a college textbook that has been around for over a decade, and the 11th edition is one of the most complete versions.
Chapter 6 of The Hedge Fund Book is all about due diligence. Basically, it is the homework you do before handing someone your money. And after Madoff, after LTCM, after Bayou, everyone agrees on one thing. That homework was not being done properly. This chapter shows what good due diligence looks like and what happens when people skip it.
At this point in the book, we have collected the basic info from the hedge fund manager, done an initial review, and had a phone interview. Now comes the numbers part. Chapter 6 of “Hedge Fund Analysis” by Frank J. Travers is about crunching performance data, and it is packed with formulas and statistics.
I just finished reading “Investing Psychology: The Effects of Behavioral Finance on Investment Choice and Bias” by Tim Richards. And I need to talk about it.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Mention savings and loans in the early 1990s and people grabbed their wallets. The $500 billion bailout. 675 bankrupt institutions. 10,000 fraud cases pending with the FBI. The word “thrift” used to remind people of Jimmy Stewart in It’s a Wonderful Life. Now it reminded them of Charles Keating in handcuffs.
Book: Real Estate by the Numbers: A Complete Reference Guide to Deal Analysis Authors: J Scott and Dave Meyer ISBN: 9781947200210 (paperback) / 9781947200241 (ebook) Publisher: BiggerPockets Publishing, 2022
So I picked up this book called Real Estate Investment Trust Investing: The Secret to Passive Income from REITs by Mike Hartley (published 2023), and honestly? It changed how I think about building wealth through real estate.
You know George Bailey, right? Jimmy Stewart in It’s a Wonderful Life. The small-town banker who gives away his honeymoon money to save his neighbors from financial ruin. The guy who runs a building and loan association and is basically the most decent person alive.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
You know that feeling when you try really hard to fix something and it just… stays broken? Or gets worse?
In the second half of Chapter 10, Larry Harris explores the economics of being “smart.” If you’re an informed trader, your life is a constant battle against competition and the paradox of your own success.
This is post 15 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
So I just finished reading “Trading and Exchanges: Market Microstructure for Practitioners” by Larry Harris. And I have thoughts.
This is one of those books that’s been sitting on finance reading lists for years. Published in 2003 by Oxford University Press (ISBN: 0-19-514470-8), it’s basically the textbook on how markets actually work. Not the “buy low sell high” stuff you see on social media. The real mechanics. How orders flow, why spreads exist, what dealers actually do, and why some traders consistently lose money to others.
This is the start of a retelling series where I break down a serious fixed income textbook into something you can actually read without falling asleep.
This is the chapter where Rand finally names the book. And it happens in a conversation so simple you almost miss how important it is.
Every industry has a chapter it would rather skip. For private equity, this is that chapter. Demaria titles it “Private Equity and Ethics: A Culture Clash,” and he does not hold back. Fraud, job destruction, fake philanthropy, and the long fight for transparency. Let’s go through it.
This is post 14 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch would rather invest in a boring, struggling industry than a hot, growing one. That sounds wrong. But he has decades of results backing it up.
In Part 1, we watched Travers set up and begin his initial phone call with Jaime Williams from Fictional Capital Management. Now we pick up where we left off, with the conversation getting into the really meaty stuff: asset growth, liquidity, short selling, risk management, and the all-important question of what makes this fund special.
Chapter 5 of “The Hedge Fund Book” opens with a Muhammad Ali quote about suffering through training to become a champion. That sets the tone perfectly. Starting a hedge fund is not glamorous. It’s years of grinding before anything clicks.
Here’s the thing about EM credit that nobody tells you upfront: the structural trade is basically dead. You’d think that because emerging markets grow faster than developed ones, their credit spreads would keep compressing over time. More growth, less risk, tighter spreads. Makes sense, right?
Chapter 11 is about the market’s parasites. Not informed traders who make prices more accurate. Not dealers who provide liquidity. These are the order anticipators: traders who profit by getting in front of other people’s trades. They do not improve anything. They just take.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Chapter 11 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is all about your liver. And Dr. Rau opens with a fact that puts things in perspective real fast: if your liver stops working, you die within 24 hours.
If the market is a giant statistical calculator (as Larry Harris calls it), then Informed Traders are the data scientists providing the inputs. In Chapter 10, we look at the people who actually do the work to figure out what things are worth.
This chapter has one of the most quoted passages in the entire book, and it comes from the villain. When the bad guy delivers the most memorable line, you know Rand is doing something interesting.
Private equity used to be the quiet kid in the back of the finance classroom. Small groups of rich people pooling money together to buy companies, fix them up, sell them. Nobody outside the industry really cared. That changed. PE firms got huge, went public, and started buying companies the size of small countries. Chapter 6 of Demaria’s book asks the obvious question: is private equity going mainstream? And if so, what does that mean for everyone involved?
This is post 13 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Previous: Real Rates - Simply Superior
So you know the big picture stuff about trading EM rates. You’ve got your frameworks, your carry analysis, your real rate models. But what do you actually do when stuff happens? When CPI prints hot, when a central bank drops a surprise, when a country gets added to a bond index, when an earthquake hits?
You have done your homework. You read the DDQ, you looked at the presentation, you reviewed the monthly letters, and the numbers did not scare you away. Now what?
Chapter 10 is about the most important thing markets do: make prices reflect reality. And it is about the people who make that happen. Informed traders.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch has a regular barber. His name is Vinnie DiVincenzo, he charges $10 for a haircut, and he throws in pleasant conversation for free. Lynch has never had a problem with Vinnie’s work.
In the last post, I covered why Dr. Rau designed the One-Week Intensive Cure and why he thinks it works better than fasting. Now let’s get into the actual plan. Chapter 10 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health lays out a day-by-day structure that’s surprisingly detailed, so here’s what seven days on this cure actually looks like.
Chapter 4 of The Hedge Fund Book is called “The Shooting Star.” And the title tells you everything. Some hedge funds grow super fast, look amazing for a while, and then crash. Like a shooting star. Bright, quick, gone.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
In Chapter 9, Larry Harris steps back from the “how” of trading to look at the “why.” Why should a regular person, who might not even own a single stock, care about whether the New York Stock Exchange has a central limit order book or how fast orders are linked?
This chapter is packed. A wedding, a famous speech about money, a stock market crash, and one of the best character introductions in the book. Rand is operating at full speed here, and the chapter earns its length.
You want to buy a company. Or at least a piece of one. How does that actually work? Chapter 5 of Demaria’s book lays it out in 7 steps. The whole thing takes 3 to 18 months depending on the deal. And really, the entire process boils down to one word: trust. Buyer and seller have to trust each other enough to make a deal happen. Let’s walk through it.
This is post 12 of 23 in a series on “Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity” by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN 978-0-7506-7973-2).
In Part 1 we looked at what a Due Diligence Questionnaire (DDQ) is and how Travers uses it to collect initial data on a hedge fund. In this second part, we cover the rest of the DDQ, the other materials you should request, how to analyze performance data, and one of the most useful free tools out there: SEC 13F filings.
Chapter 3 of “The Hedge Fund Book” by Richard C. Wilson is called “Hedge Fund Marketing Pro.” It opens with a quote that basically says there are three ways to raise capital: have rich friends, land early institutional allocations, or do hard work. That sets the tone for the whole chapter. No shortcuts. Just grind.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
By late 1991, everyone was convinced that real estate was collapsing. For-sale signs were popping up like weeds. Fat-cat homeowners in places like Marblehead, Massachusetts, were complaining that their houses were worth 30 to 40 percent less than a couple years ago. Newspapers ran collapse stories almost daily.
Previous: EM Rates - Inflation and Central Banks
Chapter 7 is titled “Real Rates: Simply Superior.” That’s not a suggestion. It’s a thesis statement. The authors make a strong case that inflation-linked bonds in emerging markets deserve way more attention than they get. And honestly? The data backs them up.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Chapter 10 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health opens with a line I genuinely appreciate: “With Dr. Rau’s Way you cannot cheat.”
In the second half of Chapter 8, we meet the players who are actually trying to make a living in the arena. If trading is a zero-sum game, these are the people trying to take your money.
What does “good” even mean when we talk about a market? This is not a philosophical question. It is a practical one that affects every regulation, every rule change, and every debate about how trading should work. Chapter 9 is Harris building a framework for answering this question, and it turns out to be one of the most important chapters in the book.
Part II opens and the world is worse. Way worse. Wyatt’s oil fields are still burning. The government took over the ruins and created the “Wyatt Reclamation Project.” They staffed it with committees and planners and administrators. After all that effort, the project produces six and a half gallons of oil where Wyatt once produced thousands of barrels. Six and a half gallons. That number just sits there like a punchline to a joke nobody’s laughing at.
This is the final piece of Chapter 4. We covered venture capital, growth capital, LBOs and special situations before. Now Demaria walks us through the rest of the private markets universe: private debt, real assets, and a handful of other instruments that sit at the edges of the asset class.
This is post 11 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Previous: EM Rates and the Fed Cycle
In the first half of this chapter, we talked about how the monetary policy cycle works in EM and how it mirrors (but isn’t identical to) the US cycle. Now we get to the really juicy stuff: why inflation behaves so differently in EM, how to forecast it, and when to actually put trades on around central bank pivots.
So you have narrowed your list of hedge fund candidates. You ran the screens, looked at the charts, compared the numbers. Now what?
Here’s a stat that surprised me. A 2006 study by Capco found that more than half of hedge fund failures happen because of operational problems, not bad investment picks. Think about that. Most funds don’t blow up because the portfolio manager made a bad bet. They blow up because the back office was a mess.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch didn’t find his best stock ideas in analyst reports or at investment conferences. He found them at the Burlington Mall, 25 miles from his house.
Chapter 9 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health tackles something that sounds simple but trips up almost everyone: actually getting started. Dr. Rau knows that knowing what to eat and actually having the right food in your kitchen are two very different problems. So he dedicates an entire chapter to the practical stuff. Your pantry. Your fridge. Your cooking equipment. Your shopping habits.
In Chapter 8, Larry Harris drops a truth bomb: Trading is a zero-sum game. For every winner, there is a loser. If you want to make money, you have to trade with someone who is going to lose.
Here is a question that sounds simple but almost nobody answers honestly: why do you trade?
Not “to make money.” That is what everyone says. Harris dedicates Chapter 8 to pulling apart all the different reasons people actually show up to the market. And the taxonomy he builds is genuinely useful. Because if you do not understand why you trade, you are probably doing it wrong. And if you cannot figure out why the person on the other side of your trade is trading, you have no idea whether you are the smart money or the dumb money.
Chapter 10 is the end of Part I, and Rand makes sure you feel it. Everything that was built up in the first nine chapters comes crashing down. The builders start vanishing. The government tightens its grip. And the book’s most dramatic image lights up the sky.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
This chapter is where the Magellan retrospective ends and the practical stockpicking begins. Lynch is about to walk us through the 21 stocks he recommended at the 1992 Barron’s Roundtable. But first, he explains his method. And it starts with a warning about both extremes.
Most brokers are honest. But the relationship between broker and client has a built-in conflict that can’t be fully eliminated. The second half of Chapter 7 in “Trading and Exchanges” covers this conflict, the ways dishonest brokers exploit it, and the systems markets have built to keep everyone (mostly) honest.
If venture capital is the glamorous part of private equity, LBOs are where the real money lives. According to Demaria, leveraged buyouts represent roughly 69% of all PE fund investments. This is the heavy machinery of finance, and Chapter 4 spends serious time explaining how it works.
Chapter 3 kicks off Part Two of the book, and this is where things get practical. We are done with the history lessons and strategy overviews. Now Travers rolls up his sleeves and shows us how to actually evaluate a hedge fund step by step.
Chapter 1 of “The Hedge Fund Book” by Richard C. Wilson kicks things off with the basics. And honestly, if you’ve ever wondered what a hedge fund actually is without getting a headache from finance jargon, this chapter does a solid job explaining it.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
This is post 10 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
In the second half of Chapter 7, Larry Harris gets into the messy reality of the Principal-Agent Problem. You are the principal (the boss), and the broker is the agent. In a perfect world, they do exactly what you want. In the real world, they have their own bills to pay.
Chapter 8 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is where Dr. Rau lays out what life looks like after the detox. And honestly, it’s way more enjoyable than you’d expect from a chapter called “The Maintenance Diet.”
Chapter 6 is where the book gets into the real meat of EM rates trading. And the first thing it tells you might be surprising: before you can trade EM rates, you need to understand US rates. Because the Fed drives everything.
Chapter 9 is a study in contrasts. Rand puts two relationships side by side and lets you see the difference between a connection built on real values and one built on lies. And then, in the last act, she introduces the mystery that will drive the rest of the novel.
Brokers are the middlemen of trading. You might think of them as a necessary evil, but Larry Harris makes a compelling case in Chapter 7 of “Trading and Exchanges” that they provide services most traders simply cannot replicate on their own. Understanding what brokers do, and what they might do to you, is essential whether you’re a retail trader or managing billions.
Chapter 4 is where Demaria gets into the actual strategies private equity funds use to make money. He starts with the one everyone has heard of: venture capital. The stuff that turns garage projects into billion-dollar companies. Or, more often, burns through cash and produces nothing.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
EM policymakers really, really care about their exchange rates. Way more than developed market policymakers do. And for good reason. FX matters more for inflation in emerging markets. There’s way more USD-denominated debt floating around. And politically, a collapsing currency is basically a death sentence for the sitting government. The FX rate is the most visible report card for whether the government is doing a good job.
Chapter 7 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health might be the most unsettling chapter in the whole book. Because Dr. Rau is basically saying: you’re probably allergic to something you eat every single day, and you have no idea.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
By mid-1983, Lynch owned 450 stocks. By fall, that number had doubled to 900. He had to be ready to tell 900 different stories to his colleagues in 90 seconds or less. Which meant he actually had to know all 900 stories.
This is post 9 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
If you aren’t trading for your own account on the floor, you’re using a broker. In Chapter 7, Larry Harris explains that brokers are more than just order-takers—they are the grease that keeps the wheels of the market turning.
The introduction of The Hedge Fund Book starts with a pretty bold question. What if you could sit down with 30 hedge fund veterans and just ask them everything? What if someone spent over $80,000 hiring professionals with 7 to 30 years of experience to share their best advice?
Chapter 1 gave us the history. Now in Chapter 2, Travers answers the big question: what actually is a hedge fund, and why would anyone put money into one?
This chapter is one of those moments in a book where you can feel the author writing at full power. Every line of Chapter 8 builds toward a single scene: the first train running on the John Galt Line, across a bridge made of Rearden Metal. And honestly? It lands.
So you want to know if a private equity fund is actually good? Turns out, that’s way harder than it sounds. There is no stock ticker refreshing every second. No public quarterly earnings call. You are stuck with imperfect tools and incomplete data. Welcome to Section 3.3 through 3.5 of Demaria’s book.
In Part 1, we covered the earliest roots of hedge funds, from Japanese rice traders to Karl Karsten’s statistical forecasting and Benjamin Graham’s value-oriented approach. Now we get to the person who took all those ideas and built something that actually changed Wall Street forever.
Previous: How to Trade EMFX Part 1
In Part 1 we covered carry strategies and how they’ve been slowly dying. Now let’s get into the stuff that actually works better: growth, valuation, momentum, flows, seasonality, and volatility. This is where the chapter gets really interesting.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch’s day started at 6:05 AM in the backseat of a friend’s Saab. His buddy Jeff Moore drove while his wife Bobbie held X-rays up to a small light in the front seat. Lynch sat in the back with his own light, reading annual reports. The X-rays never got mixed up with the financial reports.
Order-driven markets are where most of the action happens. Almost every major exchange in the world is order-driven. If you understand how these markets match buyers to sellers and price the resulting trades, you understand the mechanics of modern trading. Chapter 6 of “Trading and Exchanges” breaks it all down.
Now that we’ve covered the rules and philosophy behind the Swiss Detox Diet, let’s get into what you’re actually eating each week. Dr. Rau structures the three weeks very intentionally, starting extremely restrictive and then gradually opening things up.
The preface of “The Hedge Fund Book” starts with Richard Wilson explaining why he wrote this thing in the first place. And honestly, his reason is pretty relatable. He read most hedge fund books out there over seven years and couldn’t find one that gave you straight, unfiltered advice from actual hedge fund managers.
In Chapter 6, we get into the “code” of the market. Order-driven markets don’t rely on a dealer to set prices; they rely on a set of rules. If you’re a developer building an exchange, these are your requirements.
This is post 8 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Book: Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand (35th Anniversary Edition, ISBN: 9781101137192)
This is the longest chapter so far, and it’s where Rand switches from setup to action. Dagny is building the Rio Norte Line with Rearden Metal rails. The government is trying to stop her. And the question at the center of everything is: who’s actually exploiting whom?
So you have a bunch of big investors who want to put money into private equity but don’t want to pick companies themselves. What do they do? They hand their money to a fund manager and say “go make us rich.” Sounds simple. But the details of how that relationship works, how the fund manager gets paid, and what stops them from just enriching themselves at your expense? That is where it gets interesting.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Chapter 1 of Travers’s book opens with a quote from Mark Twain: “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it does rhyme.” And then Travers immediately proves it by describing a 1970 article from Fortune magazine that sounds like it was written yesterday. Hedge funds losing money, managers getting overconfident, regulators circling. That article is from 1970. Let that sink in.
Chapter 4 is where this book gets really practical. The authors stop talking about what drives EM and start talking about how to trade it. And they begin with the most famous strategy in FX: the carry trade.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch didn’t start Magellan. He inherited it. And what he inherited in 1977 was kind of a mess.
Not all markets work the same way. The rules, the systems, and the structure of a market determine who can trade, what information they can see, and who actually makes money. Chapter 5 of “Trading and Exchanges” lays out a framework for understanding market structures. And once you understand this framework, you can look at any market in the world and quickly figure out how it works.
In Chapter 5, Larry Harris explains that the market structure—the rules and the tech—is just as important as the orders themselves. It determines who has the power and who gets the profit.
I just finished reading “The Hedge Fund Book: A Training Manual for Professionals and Capital-Raising Executives” by Richard C. Wilson. And I wanted to share what I learned from it in a way that actually makes sense to normal people.
This is post 7 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Alright, we’ve spent several chapters building up the theory behind Dr. Rau’s approach. The gut bacteria, the acid-alkaline balance, the protein thing. Now we’re finally at the part where he tells you exactly what to do about it. Chapter 6 introduces the Swiss Detox Diet, and it’s surprisingly specific.
Book: Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand (35th Anniversary Edition, ISBN: 9781101137192)
If the last chapter was about falling in love with Francisco d’Anconia, this one is about watching Hank Rearden suffer through a party full of people who hate everything he stands for. And it is painful. In a good way.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Mutual funds were supposed to make investing easy. Instead of picking stocks yourself, you just pick a fund. But here’s the thing. By the early ’90s there were more mutual funds than individual stocks on the New York and American exchanges combined. So now you had to pick from 3,565 funds. The confusion didn’t go away. It multiplied.
Here’s something most people don’t realize. If you have a pension, pay insurance premiums, or even have a retirement savings account, there’s a good chance some of your money is sitting in private equity right now. You didn’t choose it. Nobody asked you. But that’s how the system works.
There are somewhere between 8,000 and 10,000 hedge funds out there. Let that sink in for a second. Even if you had infinite money, how would you figure out which ones are actually good?
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Every trade starts with an order. And if you don’t understand orders, you’re basically showing up to a poker game without knowing the rules. Chapter 4 of Larry Harris’s “Trading and Exchanges” is all about orders, what they are, and the properties that make each type useful (or dangerous) in different situations.
This is post 6 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
If you can’t personally stand on the exchange floor and shout your trades, you need orders. In Chapter 4, Larry Harris breaks down the different types of instructions you can give your broker and why the specific type you choose is the biggest factor in your success.
Okay, so Chapter 5 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is probably the most controversial section of the entire book. If you’ve grown up hearing “eat more protein” from every fitness influencer, every nutritionist, and basically every food advertisement, this chapter is going to challenge you.
In Part 1, we covered how China became the most important emerging market on the planet. Its economy is so large that it basically drives the entire EM asset class. We looked at trade links, commodity demand, leverage concerns, the current account surplus disappearing, and the capital account slowly opening up.
Book: Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand (35th Anniversary Edition, ISBN: 9781101137192)
This chapter is a big one. It gives us the full backstory on Francisco d’Anconia and turns what seemed like a side plot into the emotional core of the book. It’s also where Rand pulls off something clever: she makes you fall in love with a character and then shows you his apparent destruction, all in the same chapter.
In part 1 we talked about how the US basically invented private equity. Now the question is: can everyone else just copy the homework? Demaria’s answer is basically “it’s complicated.” Europe tried to adapt the American model. Emerging markets are still figuring things out. And the results are… mixed.
Book: Trading Fixed Income and FX in Emerging Markets Authors: Dirk Willer, Ram Bala Chandran, Kenneth Lam Publisher: Wiley (2020) ISBN: 978-1-119-59905-0
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. ISBN: 9781119900139 Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022
Chapter 4 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is where Dr. Rau lays out his entire dietary philosophy. And he does it with one of the best analogies I’ve come across in a health book.
In the second half of Chapter 3, Larry Harris dives into the different types of markets and the rules that keep them from turning into the Wild West.
I just finished reading “Hedge Fund Analysis: An In-Depth Guide to Evaluating Return Potential and Assessing Risks” by Frank J. Travers, and I want to break it down for you in a series of blog posts.
This is post 5 of 23 in a series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2).
This is Part 2 of our coverage of Chapter 3 in Trading and Exchanges. Part 1 covered the players, trade facilitators, and instruments. Now we get into where trading actually happens and who makes the rules.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Every January since 1986, Peter Lynch sat on a panel of investment experts at the Barron’s Roundtable. They’d meet for eight hours in the Dow Jones offices in Manhattan, under spotlights and hanging microphones. Very serious stuff.
Book: Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand (35th Anniversary Edition, ISBN: 9781101137192)
This chapter is where things start to get real. Rand stops setting the stage and starts pulling the rug out. People disappear. Alliances form. And the world gets a little worse in a way nobody can quite explain.
Chapter 2 of Demaria’s book opens with a fun question: is modern private equity a French invention? The word “entrepreneur” is French. The guy who basically created modern venture capital, Georges Doriot, was French. But he did it in America. At Harvard, not in Paris. That tells you something about where the conditions were right.
In Part 1, we covered how US rates and the dollar cycle drive emerging markets. Now we get to the rest of the global macro toolkit: commodities, the VIX, and a sleeper driver that most people underrate: US high yield spreads.
Chapter 3 of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health is where Dr. Rau basically opens the doors to his clinic and says “here’s what we actually do.” And honestly, some of it sounds like science fiction. But the more you read, the more you realize there’s a method to all of it.
This is post 4 of 23 in a series on “Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity” by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
In Chapter 3, Larry Harris zooms out to give us the “big picture” of the trading industry. If you want to understand market microstructure, you first need to know who the players are and what they’re actually trading.
Chapter 3 of Trading and Exchanges is the chapter where Larry Harris dumps the entire trading industry on your desk and says, “Here is how it all fits together.” It is dense with jargon and institutional detail. Harris even admits you can skip it if you already know the industry. But for everyone else, this chapter provides the context that makes everything after it make sense.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
A group of seventh graders at St. Agnes School in Arlington, Massachusetts, picked a portfolio of 14 stocks. Over two years, their picks gained 70 percent. The S&P 500 gained 26 percent in the same period. Those kids outperformed 99 percent of all equity mutual funds.
Chapter 3 opens with one of the most satirical descriptions in the entire novel. Four men sit in the most expensive barroom in New York. The place is built on the roof of a skyscraper but designed to look like a cellar. Heavy low ceilings. Dark red leather. Blue lights like blackout lamps. The men who sit sixty floors above the city speak in low voices, “as befitted a cellar.”
Chapter 1 of Cyril Demaria’s book opens with a story you probably did not expect in a finance textbook. Christopher Columbus. Yep, the guy with the ships.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Lynch opens the Introduction of Beating the Street like a preacher returning to the pulpit. He has one message, and he’s not being subtle about it. Buy stocks.
Previous: EMFX and Fixed Income - Where the Opportunities Are
Book: Trading Fixed Income and FX in Emerging Markets | Authors: Dirk Willer, Ram Bala Chandran, Kenneth Lam | Publisher: Wiley, 2020 | ISBN: 978-1-119-59905-0
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
Book: Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity Author: Jamshid Gharajedaghi ISBN: 978-0-7506-7973-2
This is post 3 of 23 in the Systems Thinking series.
Welcome to part 3 of my retelling of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health by Dr. Thomas Rau. Chapter 2 is where things get really practical. After laying the philosophical groundwork in chapter 1, Dr. Rau now turns to the engine that drives everything: food. And specifically, what’s happening in your gut.
Chapter 2 of Trading and Exchanges is basically Larry Harris saying: “Let me show you what actually happens when someone trades.” And it is one of the most eye-opening chapters in the book, especially if you have only ever traded through an app where you tap “buy” and shares magically appear in your account.
In Chapter 1, we talked about the theory. In Chapter 2, Larry Harris gives us four stories to show how these concepts work in the wild. If you’ve ever wondered what happens behind the scenes of a “Buy” button, this is for you.
Chapter 2 of Atlas Shrugged opens with one of the most beautiful passages in the entire novel. And it’s about pouring metal.
Emerging market debt is one of those things that sounds exotic until you look at the numbers. Then it just sounds obvious.
This is post 2 of 23 in a series on “Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity” by Jamshid Gharajedaghi (ISBN 978-0-7506-7973-2).
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
This is part 2 of my retelling of The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health by Dr. Thomas Rau. In the first chapter, Dr. Rau lays the foundation for everything that comes after. He explains what Swiss biological medicine actually is, how he got into it, and why he thinks conventional medicine is missing some really important pieces.
If you’ve ever wondered why prices move the way they do, or why some people seem to always make money while others lose, you’re looking for market microstructure.
Larry Harris opens Trading and Exchanges with a simple observation: markets are fascinating. They change constantly as prices adjust to new information, as winning traders replace losing traders, and as new technologies evolve. That is a pretty understated way to describe the most complex competitive arena in the world.
You would think that a thing called “private equity” would be easy to define. It has two words. One means private. The other means equity. Should be simple, right?
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch turned off his Quotron machine at Fidelity Magellan Fund on May 31, 1990. He’d been running the fund for exactly 13 years. In that time he’d purchased more than 15,000 different stocks. He could remember 2,000 stock symbols.
The very first line of Atlas Shrugged is a question. “Who is John Galt?” And the way Rand drops it on us tells you everything about the world she’s building.
Book: Beating the Street by Peter Lynch with John Rothchild | ISBN: 978-0-671-75915-5
Peter Lynch ran the Fidelity Magellan Fund for 13 years. During that time, he turned every $1,000 invested into roughly $28,000. He bought more than 15,000 stocks. He beat the market almost every single year. And then, at age 46, he quit.
I just finished reading “Introduction to Private Equity, Debt, and Real Assets” by Cyril Demaria (3rd edition, Wiley, ISBN 978-1-119-53737-3) and I wanted to share what I learned.
Book: Systematic Fixed Income: An Investor’s Guide Author: Scott A. Richardson, Ph.D. Publisher: John Wiley & Sons, 2022 ISBN: 9781119900139
This is the first post in a 23-part series on Systems Thinking: Managing Chaos and Complexity by Jamshid Gharajedaghi.
I’m going to walk through this book chapter by chapter. Not just summarizing it, but actually talking about what it means and why you should care.
So I picked up this book called The Swiss Secret to Optimal Health by Dr. Thomas Rau, and honestly, it sat on my shelf for a while before I actually cracked it open. The subtitle is “Dr. Rau’s Diet for Whole Body Healing,” and I figured it was just another diet book with some European flair. But once I started reading, I realized this goes way deeper than counting calories or cutting carbs.
So you want to understand how markets actually work. Not the “buy low, sell high” platitude your uncle repeats at Thanksgiving. Not the Reddit version where everything is either a short squeeze or a conspiracy. The real mechanics. How orders get filled, why prices move, who makes money, and who gets eaten alive.
Have you ever wondered what actually happens when you click “buy” on your trading app? Most people think about the stock price or the company’s earnings, but very few understand the actual machinery that makes the trade happen.
Most books about trading fall into one of two buckets. Either they’re pure theory with no real application. Or they’re war stories that sound cool but don’t help you build actual strategies. This book is neither.
So you want to read Atlas Shrugged but the thing is over a thousand pages long. Or maybe you already read it and want to talk about what just happened to your brain. Either way, you’re in the right place.