Benjamin Graham is probably the most famous contrarian investor who ever lived. Together with David Dodd, he invented what we now call value investing. The whole idea is simple. Buy stocks that other people don’t like. Stocks with low prices compared to their earnings or book value. Cheap stocks. Unpopular stocks.
Most people think of private equity as just owning a piece of a company. But the “private markets” universe is much bigger than that. It also includes two other major categories: Private Debt and Private Real Assets.
Value at Risk tells you what to expect on a normal day. But what about the days that are not normal? What about crashes? Chapter 43 introduces CrashMetrics, which is Wilmott’s own creation. If VaR is about routine market conditions, CrashMetrics is the opposite side of the coin. It is about fire sales, panic, and the far-from-orderly liquidation of assets.
In 1992 two economists published a paper that accidentally shook the foundations of modern finance. They did not mean to. They were actually trying to defend the system. But what they found in the data was so clear and so stubborn that it changed how everyone thought about stock prices.
Chapter 2 of Flash Boys is where we meet Brad Katsuyama. And honestly, this is where the book really starts cooking. Because Brad is not some Wall Street hotshot from Goldman Sachs. He’s a Canadian guy from Toronto who ended up in New York almost by accident.
Humans are social animals. We evolved to survive in groups, and that means we have a deep-seated need to fit in. But in Chapter 4, Tim Richards explains that while “conforming” kept our ancestors alive, it’s making modern investors broke.
Private equity isn’t just one thing. It’s a whole universe that follows a company from its very first day until it’s a giant corporation.
Chapter 1 of Flash Boys opens like a heist movie. Two thousand workers are digging across America. They don’t know why. They don’t know what they are building. And they are told to keep their mouths shut.
Continuing with Chapter 3 of “Investing Psychology.” We’re looking at all the weird external stuff that influences our money.
Experience actually helps with some biases. Research shows that older investors are less prone to the disposition effect (selling winners and holding losers).
We talked about Value at Risk (VaR) earlier in the book. You know the concept: estimate how much you can lose from your portfolio over a given time, with a given confidence level. Cool idea. But where do you get the actual numbers? Volatilities, correlations, credit data? Chapter 42 is about two systems that try to answer that question: RiskMetrics and CreditMetrics. Both came from JP Morgan, and both became industry standards.